一个简单R&D模型的周期和混沌行为

MICHAEL KOPEL
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引用次数: 12

摘要

本文讨论了一个简单的描述性非线性R&D模型的动力学问题。特别强调的是真实代理人的决策行为。虽然我们的二维模型很简单,但它会产生周期性和混沌行为。尽管我们主要集中于使用数值方法,但我们也提出了混沌行为发生的理论论据。我们证明了我们的时间离散模型可以用一种类似于常微分方程的庞加莱剖面的方法简化为一维模型。这种一维模型具有相同的动态特性。由于大多数定理和结果都是在一维动力学的背景下,我们通过应用一些有趣的命题获得了进一步的见解。
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Periodic and chaotic behaviour of a simple R&D model

The present paper deals with the dynamics of a simple descriptive non-linear R&D model. Special emphasis is put on the decision-making behaviour of real agents. Although our two-dimensional model is quite simple it produces periodic and chaotic behaviour. Despite we mainly concentrate on using numerical methods, we also present theoretical arguments for the occurrence of chaotic behaviour. We show that our time-discrete model can be reduced to a one-dimensional model by using a technique which is similar to the Poincaré section of ordinary differential equations. This one-dimensional model has the same dynamic properties. Since a majority of the theorems and results are in the context of dynamics in one dimension, we gain further insights by applying some interesting propositions.

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