基于博弈论最优方法的循环经济在城市垃圾管理中的应用

Gholamhossein Lari
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摘要

今天,工业基础设施社会在不断变化。来自工业区的废物和城市废物的存在引起了环境问题。因此,需要新的和最佳的工具和方法来减少负面的环境和经济后果。本研究提出了一种新的优化方法,以支持各个领域的工业生产者,特别是食品生产者,尽可能多地管理工业废物。本文的研究方法是基于博弈论提供循环经济的最优结构,以确定一个基于固定风险评估和现有知识的适应性决策结构。在循环经济结构中,基于博弈论的适应性决策结构是一个学习、提高理解并最终以规则和有效的方式调整管理决策的结构过程,目的是减少管理期间的不确定性。这项研究通过明确地认识到形势发展并通过学习改进决策,具有很大的潜力来应对未来管理工业风险和浪费的挑战。提出这种方法是为了重新评估风险,并提供更具适应性和灵活性的管理措施,以便在面临变化时加强基础设施。考虑了博弈论的顺序和自适应更新,以减少不确定性,提供决策管理系统。最后,本文以德黑兰的一个住宅社区作为工业项目为标准,对所提出的比较决策方法进行了可行性和有效性的检验,以管理不断变化的风险。研究结果表明,风险和脆弱性的变化增加了社会未来的风险,这种风险可以通过自适应决策管理系统来管理。
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Applying Circular Economy in Municipal Waste Management by Optimal Approach of Game Theory
Today, industrial infrastructure societies are constantly changing. The presence of waste and municipal waste from industrial areas raises environmental concerns. Therefore, there is a need for new and optimal tools and methods to reduce the negative environmental and economic consequences. This research presents a new and optimal method to support industrial producers in various fields, especially food, to manage industrial waste as much as possible. The approach of this research is to provide an optimal structure of circular economics based on game theory that determines an adaptive decision structure based on fixed risk assessment and current knowledge. Adaptive decision-making structure based on game theory in the structure of the circular economy is a structural process for learning, improving understanding and finally adapting management decisions in a regular and efficient manner with the aim of reducing uncertainty during the management period. This research, by explicitly recognizing situational developments and improving decisions through learning, has great potential to meet future challenges in managing industrial risk and waste. This approach has been proposed as a way to re-evaluate risks and provide more adaptive and flexible management measures to strengthen infrastructure in the face of change. Sequential and adaptive updating of game theory is considered to reduce uncertainty and provide a decision management system. Finally, the proposed comparative decision-making method with a criterion based on a residential community as an industrial project in Tehran is shown to examine its feasibility and effectiveness in managing evolving risks. The results of this study show that changes in risk and vulnerability increase future risks for society and such risks can be managed with adaptive decision management system.
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