印尼出口、进口、外商直接投资与经济增长的关系

I. Mukhlis, Lutfi Asnan Qodri
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究旨在利用印度尼西亚1980 - 2017年的时间序列数据,分析出口、进口、外国直接投资与经济增长之间的关系。本文采用向量误差修正模型(VECM)来估计变量之间的关系。实证结果表明,外商直接投资对印尼经济增长具有显著的促进作用。同时,在短期内,印尼经济的进出口对经济增长没有显著的影响。在模型规范中,由于误差修正项系数不显著,模型无效。
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Relationship between Export, Import, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Indonesia
This study aims to analysis the relationship between export, import, foreign direct investment and economic growth using time series data during 1980 to 2017 in Indonesia. This paper applied vector error correction model (VECM) to estimate the relationship between variables. The empirical results showed that foreign direct investment have significant effect to economic growth in Indonesian economy. Meanwhile, in the short run there were not significantly affect between export and import to economic growth in Indonesian economy. In model specification, the model was invalid because insignificantly coeficient of error correction term.
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