弹性价格下的流动性紧缩与流动性陷阱:一些微观基础与启示

G. Calvo
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文讨论了流动性通缩的简单微观基础(Calvo 2016,第2章),这导致了完全灵活的价格/工资下的流动性陷阱。与凯恩斯(1936)不同的是,这是一个供给侧流动性陷阱(SSLT),不是通过价格/工资下跌或流动性政府负债的大规模直升机式增加来解决的。然而,逃避SSLT可以通过降低货币政策利率来实现(除非ZLB保持不变),更有趣的是,由管理价格/工资驱动的更高通胀。此外,与(Friedman 1969)相反,在流动性通缩下,最优货币数量并不要求流动性饱和,并且可能危险地接近SSLT。
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Liquidity Deflation and Liquidity Trap Under Flexible Prices: Some Microfoundations and Implications
The paper discusses simple microfoundations for Liquidity Deflation (Calvo 2016, Chapter 2), which gives rise to liquidity trap under perfectly flexible prices/wages. Unlike Keynes (1936), this is a Supply Side Liquidity Trap, SSLT, not resolved by a fall in prices /wages, or massive helicopter increase in liquid government liabilities. However, escaping SSLT could be achieved by low policy interest rates on money (unless ZLB holds) and, more interestingly, higher inflation driven by administered prices/wages. Moreover, contrary to (Friedman 1969), under Liquidity Deflation the Optimal Quantity of Money does not call for liquidity satiation, and may be dangerously close to SSLT.
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