一种用于大型农业调查的面积测量方法

J.E. Moes, G. Sharrock
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人们经常强调目前在非洲小农农业调查中使用的“客观”方法的不适宜性,但是可能用来取代它们的经过科学检验的替代方法尚未开发出来。本文报告了面积估计的“最长对角线法”,该方法在马拉维取得了令人鼓舞的结果。田间工作包括测量区域内(农场地块)从一端到另一端的最长距离:在测试阶段,根据该变量(指定的LD)估算的面积与用胶带和指南针测量的“已知”面积进行比较。在我们实验的早期阶段,一种涉及计算LD与a区域相关的因子F的平均值的方法被拒绝了,取而代之的是回归分析,其中第二条对角线,指定为垂线或P,也与LD结合起作用。第二条对角线P从LD的中点到地块的边缘呈90°角。由于引入磷,田间工作包括测量LD和P。引入基于R = P/LD比率的形状分类作为田间密实程度的指标后,获得了有效的总面积估计,并且在农场规模分类方面,结果也相当可接受。迄今为止,为寻找其他更具有成本效益的方法,使农业调查能够在项目分类一级提供关于作物生产的可靠资料,所作的努力几乎完全集中在是否可能使用农民自己的估计。然而,这种孤立的方法有其局限性,要想充分发挥作用,在这个方向上取得突破,无论以何种方式,都需要用一种不那么麻烦的面积估计方法加以补充。虽然改进的面积估计本身也有优点,但目前的贡献将在这种组合中发现最显著的效果。
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An alternative method of area measurement for large agricultural surveys

The unsuitability of current ‘objective’ methods used in agricultural surveys of smallholder farming in Africa has often been stressed but scientifically tested alternative methods that may be used to replace them are yet to be developed. The present paper reports on the ‘Longest Diagonal Method’ of area estimation, with which encouraging results have been obtained in Malawi.

The field work consists of measuring the longest distance within the area (farm plots) from one end to another: in the testing stage, area estimates based on this variable, designated LD, were compared with the ‘known’ area as measured with tape and compass. At an early stage of our experimentation, an approach involving the computation of the mean of a factor F relating LD to the area A was rejected, and this was replaced by regression analysis in which a second diagonal, designated as the perpendicular or P, is also playing a role in combination with LD. This second diagonal P runs at a 90° angle from the midpoint of LD to the edges of the plot, and since the introduction of P the field work consisted of measuring both LD and P. After the introduction of shape classification based on the ratio R = P/LD as an indicator of a field's degree of compactness, valid aggregate area estimates were obtained and as regards farm size classification the results were also quite acceptable.

Hitherto, efforts to find alternative, more cost-effective methods that would enable agricultural surveys to provide reliable information on crop production at project level of disaggregation have focused almost exclusively on the possibility of using farmers' own estimates. However, this method taken in isolation has its limitations and to be fully effective a breakthrough in this direction, one way or another, needs to be complemented by a less cumbersome approach towards area estimation. While improved area estimation has merits in its own right as well, the most significant effect of the present contribution will be found in this combination.

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