2015年至2020年波兰生物成分生产中菜籽油和玉米使用趋势

IF 0.9 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI:10.30858/zer/152476
Łukasz Chmielewski
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摘要

摘要本文的目的是介绍波兰燃料用菜籽油和玉米的市场供求情况,并分析其价格与产量的关系,以及汽油和柴油燃料的消费量。该分析涵盖了2015-2020年期间,并基于波兰统计局、国家农业支持中心和波兰石油工业和贸易组织的数据。统计分析表明,2015年至2020年期间,生产生物燃料的原材料使用动态超过了其生产和收获的增长率。对波兰燃料生产和消费之间关系的评估表明,在本报告所述期间,燃料部门的需求对菜籽油和玉米的价格产生了主要影响,而燃料生产在形成菜籽油批发价格和玉米购买价格方面所占的份额较小。在欧盟和波兰直到2040年的新能源政策以及俄罗斯入侵乌克兰的背景下,生物燃料都是一个重要而热门的问题,其后果之一是能源危机和欧盟宣布独立于俄罗斯能源。在这种情况下,生物燃料及其生产原料可能成为改善能源安全的一个重要因素。
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Tendencies for Usage of Rapeseed Oil and Maize for Biocomponent Production in Poland Between 2015 and 2020
Abstract The aim of the article is to present the supply and demand situation on the market of rapeseed oil and maize used for fuel purposes in Poland, as well as analyze the relationship between their prices and production, as well as the consumption of gasoline and diesel fuel. The analysis covered the 2015–2020 period and was based on data from statistics Poland, the National Support Center for Agriculture, and the Polish Oil Industry and Trade Organization. Statistical analysis showed that between 2015 and 2020 the dynamics of the usage of raw materials to produce biofuels exceeded the growth rate of their production and harvest. The assessment of the relationship between production and consumption of fuels in Poland showed that the demand from the fuel sector had a dominant influence on the prices of rapeseed oil and maize during the period under consideration, and fuel production had a less significant share in shaping wholesale prices of rapeseed oil and purchase prices of maize. Biofuels are an important and topical issue both in the context of the new energy policy of the European Union (EU) and Poland until 2040 and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, with one of the consequences being the energy crisis and the announcement of the EU becoming independent from Russian energy. In such a situation, biofuels and raw materials for their production may turn out to be an important element of improving energy security.
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