{"title":"以太坊的字母表:由神经网络发现的预测价格图表模式","authors":"B. Kachnowski","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3710864","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Based upon the recent work of Dacheng Xiu's team at the University of Chicago, we demonstrate that we can repurpose a consumer-level character recognition neural network to recognize price chart patterns in the Ethereum cryptocurrency for the purpose of forecasting short term (small N days) bullish/bearish signals (binary) for the same currency. Chart patterns are machine-interpreted only; any prior knowledge or biases about chart patterns are not applied in this study. Out of sample forecasts are found to be notably greater than 50% accurate and statistically significant for a limited range of days forward.","PeriodicalId":8731,"journal":{"name":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","volume":"5 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Ethereum’s Alphabet: Predictive Price Chart Patterns Discovered by a Neural Network\",\"authors\":\"B. Kachnowski\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3710864\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Based upon the recent work of Dacheng Xiu's team at the University of Chicago, we demonstrate that we can repurpose a consumer-level character recognition neural network to recognize price chart patterns in the Ethereum cryptocurrency for the purpose of forecasting short term (small N days) bullish/bearish signals (binary) for the same currency. Chart patterns are machine-interpreted only; any prior knowledge or biases about chart patterns are not applied in this study. Out of sample forecasts are found to be notably greater than 50% accurate and statistically significant for a limited range of days forward.\",\"PeriodicalId\":8731,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal\",\"volume\":\"5 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-10-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3710864\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3710864","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Ethereum’s Alphabet: Predictive Price Chart Patterns Discovered by a Neural Network
Based upon the recent work of Dacheng Xiu's team at the University of Chicago, we demonstrate that we can repurpose a consumer-level character recognition neural network to recognize price chart patterns in the Ethereum cryptocurrency for the purpose of forecasting short term (small N days) bullish/bearish signals (binary) for the same currency. Chart patterns are machine-interpreted only; any prior knowledge or biases about chart patterns are not applied in this study. Out of sample forecasts are found to be notably greater than 50% accurate and statistically significant for a limited range of days forward.