以太坊的字母表:由神经网络发现的预测价格图表模式

B. Kachnowski
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基于Dacheng Xiu在芝加哥大学的团队最近的工作,我们证明了我们可以重新利用消费者级字符识别神经网络来识别以太坊加密货币的价格图表模式,以预测同一货币的短期(小N天)看涨/看跌信号(二元)。图表模式只能由机器解释;任何关于图表模式的先验知识或偏见都不应用于本研究。样本外预测的准确率明显高于50%,在有限的未来几天内具有统计学意义。
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Ethereum’s Alphabet: Predictive Price Chart Patterns Discovered by a Neural Network
Based upon the recent work of Dacheng Xiu's team at the University of Chicago, we demonstrate that we can repurpose a consumer-level character recognition neural network to recognize price chart patterns in the Ethereum cryptocurrency for the purpose of forecasting short term (small N days) bullish/bearish signals (binary) for the same currency. Chart patterns are machine-interpreted only; any prior knowledge or biases about chart patterns are not applied in this study. Out of sample forecasts are found to be notably greater than 50% accurate and statistically significant for a limited range of days forward.
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