能源研发评价框架

George S. Tolley, Gideon Fishelson, S. Tiwari
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文为能源研发项目开发了一个效益/成本框架。两个基本要素是成功的概率和市场渗透,这两个要素结合起来就可以产生一个项目的净效益。最后给出了一个实例。本文将继续描述当存在一个项目组合时如何使用该技术,其中一个项目的结果会影响一个或多个其他项目。最后,本文概述了在投资组合中进行项目的决策规则。
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A framework for the appraisal of energy R&D

This article develops a benefit/cost framework for energy R&D projects. Two basic elements are probability of success and market penetration, which are combined to yield a measure of net-benefits to a project. An example is given demonstrating the technique. The article goes on to describe how the technique is used when there is a portfolio of projects, where the outcome of a project affects one or more other projects. Finally, the article outlines decision rules for undertaking projects in a portfolio.

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