基于大范围CPT数据的液化敏感性概率预测

IF 0.5 Q4 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL International Journal of Geotechnical Earthquake Engineering Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI:10.4018/ijgee.2021070102
B. Dhilipkumar, A. Bardhan, P. Samui, Sanjay S. Kumar
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引用次数: 8

摘要

在可靠性分析的基础上,利用GP、RVM和MARS三种高效的软计算技术对土壤的概率液化敏感性进行预测。为此,从文献中收集了1964年至2011年间发生的19次大地震的253次锥体穿透试验(CPT)数据。六个液化参数,如校正锥体侵彻阻力、总垂直应力、总有效应力、最大水平加速度、震级力矩和侵彻深度。为了评估所提出模型的整体性能,进行了秩分析。从性能指标的值来看,GP模型在训练阶段的RMSE=0.15, R2 =0.77, VAF=76.86优于其他两个模型,在测试阶段的RMSE= 0.14, R2 = 0.81, VAF= 80.46优于其他两个模型。等级分析也证实了GP模型在预测各阶段土壤液化敏感性概率方面的优越性。
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Predicting Probability of Liquefaction Susceptibility based on a wide range of CPT data
In the present study, three efficient soft computing techniques i.e. GP, RVM, and MARS are utilized to predict the probabilistic liquefaction susceptibility of soils based on reliability analysis. For this, a sum of 253 Cone Penetration Test (CPT) data of nineteen major earthquakes occurred between 1964 and 2011 has been collected from the literature. Six liquefaction parameters such as corrected cone penetration resistance, total vertical stress, total effective stress, maximum horizontal acceleration, magnitude moment, and depth of penetration. To evaluate the overall performance of the proposed models, rank analysis has been carried out. Based on the values of performance indices, the GP model outperforms the other two models in terms of RMSE=0.15, R2 =0.77, and VAF=76.86 in the training stage while the same has been found 0.14, 0.81, and 80.46 in the testing phase. Also, the Rank Analysis confirms the superiority of the GP model in predicting the probability of liquefaction susceptibility of soils at all stages.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
25.00%
发文量
11
期刊最新文献
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