凯斯赛义德和民主的消亡

Zoe Petkanas
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摘要

今年春天,突尼斯反对派领袖、伊斯兰政党复兴运动党(Ennahdha)创始人加努希(rach Ghannouchi)被捕,并被判处一年监禁,原因是他被指在葬礼悼词中使用了“暴君”一词。他的被捕只是突尼斯总统赛义德对持不同政见者和政治反对派的一系列不断升级的镇压中最新的一次。自2021年7月发动总统政变以来,赛义德已成为该地区最新的独裁强人。一些分析人士指出,赛义德的民粹主义反制度主义和阴谋论驱动的政治偏执让人想起唐纳德·特朗普、乌戈·查韦斯和西尔维奥·贝卢斯科尼(Cordall 2023)。尽管在革命初期经常被拿来比较,但仅仅两年后,塞西就推翻了埃及第一位民选总统,突尼斯和埃及的道路就出现了巨大分歧。然而,近十年后,赛义德似乎在追随塞西夺取和巩固权力的超级总统主义剧本,在此过程中系统地瓦解了突尼斯苦心建立的民主制度。
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Kais Saied and the demise of democracy
This spring, Rached Ghannouchi, leader of the Tunisian opposition and founder of Islamist party Ennahdha, was arrested and sentenced to one year in prison for allegedly using the word ’tyrant’ in a funeral eulogy. His arrest is only the latest in a series of escalating crackdowns on dissent and political opposition by Tunisian President Kais Saied. Since executing a presidential coup in July 2021, Saied has emerged as the region’s latest authoritarian strongman. Some analysts cite Saied’s populist anti-institutionalism and conspiracy-driven political paranoia as reminiscent of Donald Trump, Hugo Chavez, and Silvio Berlusconi (Cordall 2023). Others place him the company of Egypt’s Abdel Fattah el-Sisi – whose security officers were advising Saied and were present when former Prime Minister Hichem Mechichi was beaten at the Presidential Palace on 25 July (Middle East Eye 2021). Although often compared in the early days after the revolutions, Tunisia and Egypt’s paths drastically diverged only two years later when Sisi overthrew Egypt’s first democratically elected president just one year after his election. Nearly ten years later, however, Saied appears to be following Sisi’s hyper-presidentialist playbook on seising and consolidating power, systematically dismantling Tunisia’s painstakingly built democratic institutions in the process.
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