输入天气数据的时间分辨率强烈影响离网光伏系统的布局和可靠性

IF 0.9 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Solar-Terrestrial Physics Pub Date : 2023-01-06 DOI:10.3390/solar3010004
A. Klokov, E. Loktionov
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引用次数: 6

摘要

使用平均年天气数据设计可再生能源系统是一种标准方法,适用于并网系统,但对于独立的系统,它会导致严重的错误。我们考虑了气象资料时间分辨率(5、10、15、20、30分钟;1、2、3、4小时)对独立混合系统布局的影响,包括设备成本、供电可靠性和阿尔卑斯监测设备的最大中断时间。我们已经表明,离网系统的生命周期成本可能被严重低估(数量级),其可靠性也可能被高估。较低的时间分辨率数据导致储能充放电周期的低估(也考虑到放电深度)——真正的电池需要更频繁地更换,这也符合我们的实际经验。即使天气资料时间分辨率降低5至10分钟,估计的年费用也会减半。一般来说,我们建议使用30分钟分辨率。
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Temporal Resolution of Input Weather Data Strongly Affects an Off-Grid PV System Layout and Reliability
Renewable energy systems design using average year weather data is a standard approach that works well for grid-tied systems, but for stand-alone ones, it leads to dramatic mistakes. We considered the effect of meteorological data temporal resolution (5, 10, 15, 20, 30 min; 1, 2, 3, 4 h) on a stand-alone hybrid system’s layout in terms of equipment cost, power supply reliability and maximum duration of interruption for monitoring equipment in the Alps. We have shown that lifecycle costs could be strongly (order of magnitude) underestimated for off-grid systems, as well as their reliability overestimated. Lower temporal resolution data lead to the underestimation of energy storage charge–discharge cycles (considering depth of discharge too)—real batteries are to be replaced more often, which matches our practical experience as well. Even a 5 to 10 min decrease in weather data temporal resolution leads to the estimated annual expenses being halved. In general, we recommend using 30 min. resolution.
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来源期刊
Solar-Terrestrial Physics
Solar-Terrestrial Physics GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS-
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
9.10%
发文量
38
审稿时长
12 weeks
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