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引用次数: 4

摘要

随着光伏板大量电能的注入,对电网的影响越来越大。为了降低光伏发电输出功率的不确定性,提出了一种基于鲸鱼优化算法(WOA)的长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络来预测光伏发电功率。首先,对数据进行预处理,分析灰色相关性,降低变量的维数。然后通过选择输入变量和灰色关联分析得到相似日样本。利用WOA优化LSTM神经网络的网络层次和学习率,提高了全局寻优性,降低了不确定性。最后,利用优化后的LSTM神经网络预测相似天的光伏输出功率。预测结果证明了该模型的有效性。
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Forecast of photovoltaic generated power based on WOA-LSTM
With the injection of a large amount of electricity from photovoltaic (PV) panels, there is an increasing impact on power girds. In order to lessen the uncertainties of photovoltaic output power, a Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) Neural Networks, based on Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA), is proposed to predict the photovoltaic generated power. First of all, the data is pre-processed to analyze gray relativity, which helps reduce the dimensionality of variables. Then the similar day samples are given by selected input variables and Gray Relativity Analysis. Moreover, the global optimization is improved, uncertainties reduced, for WOA is used to optimize network levels and learning rate of LSTM Neural Networks. Finally, optimized LSTM Neural Networks are used to predict PV output power compared to selected samples on similar days. The prediction results prove the model efficient.
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