耦合能源部门的长期市场均衡:唯一性研究

Jonas Egerer, Veronika Grimm, Julia Grübel, Gregor Zöttl
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们提出了一个多能源部门耦合市场的均衡模型。在我们的模型中,代理人是特定行业生产和行业耦合技术的经营者,以及具有不同需求的对价格敏感的消费者。我们分析了各部门产能的长期投资和部门间耦合产能的投资,以及在重复现货市场上确定的生产决策。我们表明,在我们的多部门模型中,均衡的多重性可能会发生,即使所有的假设都认为这足以在单部门模型中保持唯一性。然后,我们通过在多个能源部门的耦合市场中推导出短期和长期市场均衡的唯一性的充分条件来为文献做出贡献。我们通过简单的例子说明,这些条件确实需要保证唯一性。唯一性结果是将所提出的市场均衡问题纳入更复杂的多层计算均衡模型的重要步骤,在多层计算均衡模型中,低层的唯一性是获得有意义解的先决条件。我们的分析也为将来理解和分析更复杂的部门耦合模型铺平了道路。
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Long-run market equilibria in coupled energy sectors: A study of uniqueness
We propose an equilibrium model for coupled markets of multiple energy sectors. The agents in our model are operators of sector-specific production and sector-coupling technologies, as well as price-sensitive consumers with varying demand. We analyze long-run investment in production capacity in each sector and investment in coupling capacity between sectors, as well as production decisions determined at repeated spot markets. We show that in our multi-sector model, multiplicity of equilibria may occur, even if all assumptions hold that would be sufficient for uniqueness in a single-sector model. We then contribute to the literature by deriving sufficient conditions for the uniqueness of shortand long-run market equilibrium in coupled markets of multiple energy sectors. We illustrate via simple examples that these conditions are indeed required to guarantee uniqueness in general. The uniqueness result is an important step to be able to incorporate the proposed market equilibrium problem in more complex computational multilevel equilibrium models, in which uniqueness of lower levels is a prerequisite for obtaining meaningful solutions. Our analysis also paves the way to understand and analyze more complex sector coupling models in the future.
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