{"title":"随机过程和过滤之间的因果可预测性","authors":"Ana Merkle","doi":"10.1080/17442508.2023.2214265","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In this paper we further develop a notion of causal predictability defined in [A. Merkle, Predictability and Uniqueness of Weak Solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations, Analele Stiintifice ale Universitatii Ovidius Constanta, 2022] as a concept of dependence which is based on Granger's definition of causality. More precisely, in [A. Merkle, Predictability and Uniqueness of Weak Solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations, Analele Stiintifice ale Universitatii Ovidius Constanta, 2022] causal predictability is defined between filtrations, but now we introduce causal predictability between stochastic processes and filtrations. Also, we provide some properties of this new concept. Then we apply the given causality concept to the uniqueness of weak solutions of the stochastic differential equations and in financial mathematics. Granger [Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross spectral methods, Econometrica. 37 (1969), pp. 424–438] has considered causality concept between time series. In this paper we consider continuous time processes, since continuous time models represent the first step in various applications, such as in finance, econometric practice, neuroscience, epidemiology, climatology, demographic, etc.","PeriodicalId":50447,"journal":{"name":"Finance and Stochastics","volume":"20 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1000,"publicationDate":"2023-05-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Causal predictability between stochastic processes and filtrations\",\"authors\":\"Ana Merkle\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/17442508.2023.2214265\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In this paper we further develop a notion of causal predictability defined in [A. Merkle, Predictability and Uniqueness of Weak Solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations, Analele Stiintifice ale Universitatii Ovidius Constanta, 2022] as a concept of dependence which is based on Granger's definition of causality. More precisely, in [A. Merkle, Predictability and Uniqueness of Weak Solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations, Analele Stiintifice ale Universitatii Ovidius Constanta, 2022] causal predictability is defined between filtrations, but now we introduce causal predictability between stochastic processes and filtrations. Also, we provide some properties of this new concept. Then we apply the given causality concept to the uniqueness of weak solutions of the stochastic differential equations and in financial mathematics. Granger [Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross spectral methods, Econometrica. 37 (1969), pp. 424–438] has considered causality concept between time series. In this paper we consider continuous time processes, since continuous time models represent the first step in various applications, such as in finance, econometric practice, neuroscience, epidemiology, climatology, demographic, etc.\",\"PeriodicalId\":50447,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Finance and Stochastics\",\"volume\":\"20 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-05-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Finance and Stochastics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/17442508.2023.2214265\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Finance and Stochastics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17442508.2023.2214265","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Causal predictability between stochastic processes and filtrations
In this paper we further develop a notion of causal predictability defined in [A. Merkle, Predictability and Uniqueness of Weak Solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations, Analele Stiintifice ale Universitatii Ovidius Constanta, 2022] as a concept of dependence which is based on Granger's definition of causality. More precisely, in [A. Merkle, Predictability and Uniqueness of Weak Solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations, Analele Stiintifice ale Universitatii Ovidius Constanta, 2022] causal predictability is defined between filtrations, but now we introduce causal predictability between stochastic processes and filtrations. Also, we provide some properties of this new concept. Then we apply the given causality concept to the uniqueness of weak solutions of the stochastic differential equations and in financial mathematics. Granger [Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross spectral methods, Econometrica. 37 (1969), pp. 424–438] has considered causality concept between time series. In this paper we consider continuous time processes, since continuous time models represent the first step in various applications, such as in finance, econometric practice, neuroscience, epidemiology, climatology, demographic, etc.
期刊介绍:
The purpose of Finance and Stochastics is to provide a high standard publication forum for research
- in all areas of finance based on stochastic methods
- on specific topics in mathematics (in particular probability theory, statistics and stochastic analysis) motivated by the analysis of problems in finance.
Finance and Stochastics encompasses - but is not limited to - the following fields:
- theory and analysis of financial markets
- continuous time finance
- derivatives research
- insurance in relation to finance
- portfolio selection
- credit and market risks
- term structure models
- statistical and empirical financial studies based on advanced stochastic methods
- numerical and stochastic solution techniques for problems in finance
- intertemporal economics, uncertainty and information in relation to finance.