基于风险价值的双目标投资组合动态加权连续蚁群优化

Modjtaba Khalidji, Mohammad Zeiaee, Ali Taei, M. Jahed-Motlagh, H. Khaloozadeh
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引用次数: 8

摘要

提出了一种适用于双目标优化问题的连续域蚁群算法(ACOR),并将其应用于求解Markowitz风险-收益框架下的最优投资组合问题。所使用的风险度量是风险价值(VaR)。在将ACOR应用于双目标优化时,采用归一化切比切夫范数对目标值进行动态加权聚合,得到问题的一组非支配Pareto最优解。基于德黑兰证券交易所(TSE) 12种资产的历史收益数据,对该方法进行了检验。为了将DW-ACOR算法的性能与成功的多目标进化算法(MOEA)进行比较,NSGA-II算法也用于解决相同的投资组合选择问题。结果表明,所提出的方法提供了高质量的解决方案和广泛的风险回报权衡。NSGA-II得到的是一组分布更广的解,而DW-ACOR得到的解的质量更高,因为它们更接近问题的真帕累托面。
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Dynamically Weighted Continuous Ant Colony Optimization for Bi-Objective Portfolio Selection Using Value-at-Risk
An adaptation of Ant Colony for Continuous Domains (ACOR) to bi-objective optimization problems is proposed and used to solve the optimal portfolio selection problem in Markowitz’s risk-return framework. The utilized risk measure is Value-at-Risk (VaR). In adapting ACOR to bi objective optimization, a dynamically weighted aggregation of objective values by a normalized Tchebychev norm is used to obtain a set of non-dominated Pareto optimal solutions to the problem. The proposed method (DW-ACOR) is tested on a set of past return data of 12 assets on Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE). Historical Simulation (HS) is utilized to obtain an estimate of the VaR. In order to compare the performance of DW-ACOR with a successful multi objective evolutionary algorithm (MOEA), NSGA-II is also used to solve the same portfolio selection problem. A comparison of the obtained results, shows that the proposed method offers high quality solutions and a wide range of risk-return trade-offs. While NSGA-II obtains a set of somewhat more widely spread solutions, the quality of the solutions obtained by DW-ACOR is higher as they are closer to the true Pareto front of the problem.
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