共用铁路走廊相邻轨道事故半定量风险评估

Chen-yu Lin, M. R. Saat, C. Barkan
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引用次数: 8

摘要

对于任何铁路系统来说,安全都是重中之重,在共用铁路走廊上运营客运和货运列车存在一些安全问题。相邻轨道事故(ATA)是人们最为关注的问题之一。ATA是指脱轨设备侵入相邻轨道,造成运行干扰,可能导致相邻轨道发生列车碰撞的列车事故场景。其他ATA场景包括相邻轨道上的列车碰撞(倾斜)、出线和铁路交叉路口。关于共享铁路走廊ATA风险的文献有限。本文提出了一种综合风险评估方法,以识别影响相邻轨道事故发生可能性和后果的因素。讨论了这些因素如何影响概率、后果,以及各个因素如何相互关联。采用半定量的风险分析方法,研究了影响列车事故率、入侵率和事故后果的各种因素。本研究旨在描绘相邻轨道事故的高层次概述,并为未来的定量风险分析和风险缓解实施提供基础。ASME版权所有©2014
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Semi-quantitative risk assessment of adjacent track accidents on shared-use rail corridors
Safety is a high priority for any rail system, and there are several safety concerns associated with operating passenger and freight trains on shared-use rail corridors. Adjacent track accident (ATA) is one of the most important concerns. ATA refers to train accident scenarios where a derailed equipment intrudes adjacent tracks, causing operation disturbance and potential subsequent train collisions on the adjacent tracks. Other ATA scenarios include collisions between trains on adjacent tracks (raking), turnouts, and railroad crossings. Limited literature is available that addressed the risk of ATA for shared-use rail corridors. The research described in this paper presents a comprehensive risk assessment to identify factors affecting the likelihood and consequence of adjacent track accidents. A discussion on how these factors affect the probability, consequence, and how individual factor relates to each other are provided. A semi-quantitative risk analysis is developed to investigate various factors affecting train accident rate, intrusion rate, and accident consequences. This research intends to depict a high-level overview of adjacent track accidents and provides a basis for future quantitative risk analyses and risk mitigation implementations.Copyright © 2014 by ASME
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