埃塞俄比亚的政治制度和经济表现:协整的自动回归分布滞后约束方法

Fikadu Abera Garedow
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本研究的主要目的是研究政治制度在1980-2019年期间如何影响埃塞俄比亚的经济表现。本文主要利用协整的自回归分布滞后(ARDL)约束检验方法和误差修正模型检验了民主水平、政治暴力、民主问责和政权持久性等政治制度指标的影响。这项研究证实,民主水平和民主问责制对埃塞俄比亚的经济表现有不利的长期影响。另一方面,政治暴力对埃塞俄比亚的经济表现有负面的短期因果影响。这项研究的结论是,政治体制的恶化有害地影响了埃塞俄比亚的经济表现。政府决策者应主要关注促进和改变那些损害经济表现的政治制度。此外,更好地管理政治暴力对促进埃塞俄比亚的经济绩效具有重要意义。原创性:本研究为埃塞俄比亚政治制度与经济绩效之间的联系提供了一些有价值的证据。很可能,这是在考虑使用时间分析的情况下对该主题的第一次调查,并且通过使用ADRL绑定检验将对文献做出积极贡献。以前的研究在跨国基础上考察了该制度对经济增长的影响。需要进一步分析,以了解民主程度、政治暴力和民主问责制等体制对经济发展的影响。
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Political institutions and economic performance in Ethiopia: an auto regressive distributed lag bound approach to co-integration
The main objective of this study is to examine how political institutions affect economic performance in Ethiopia over the 1980–2019 time periods.,Mainly, the impact of political institution indicators including, level of democracy, political violence, democratic accountability and regime durability have been examined using auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test approach to co-integration and the error correction model.,This study confirms that level of democracy and democratic accountability has an adverse long effect on the economic performance of Ethiopia. On the other hand, political violence has a negative short-run causal effect on economic performance in Ethiopia. The study concluded that the deterioration of political institutions harmfully affected economic performance in Ethiopia.,Government policymakers should primarily pay attention to promoting and changing those political institutions that harm economic performance. Additionally, better management of political violence has important implications for fostering the economic performance of Ethiopia.,Originality: This study provides some valuable evidence on the nexuses between political institutions and economic performance in Ethiopia. Likely, this is the first investigation on the subject under the consideration to use time analysis and will vigorously contribute to the literature as well by employing the ADRL bound test. Previous studies have examined the impact of the institution on economic growth on a cross-country basis. Further analysis is required to understand the effects of institutions such as level of democracy, political violence and democratic accountability on economic development.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
10
审稿时长
10 weeks
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