西班牙化石燃料在可再生能源消费中的环境后果:从基于小波的格兰杰因果关系方法的新见解

IF 6.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI:10.1080/13504509.2022.2054877
T. Adebayo
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引用次数: 126

摘要

通过比较生态足迹和生物承载力,负载能力因子遵循给定的生态阈值,从而允许对环境恶化进行深入研究。因此,本研究使用负载能力因子(LCF)作为生态恶化的一个独特代理,从而产生一个同时考虑生态足迹和生物容量的详细环境评估工具。基于这些知识,本研究利用涵盖1970年第一季度至2017年第四季度的数据集,调查了西班牙的负荷能力因子(LCF)与化石燃料(FF)、可再生能源(REC)、经济复杂性(ECI)和外国直接投资(FDI)之间的关系。我们应用了新的小波相干技术来评估LCF和外生变量在不同频率和不同时间框架下的联系和/或因果关系。小波相关结果表明:(1)在中短期内,REC提高了环境质量;在短期和中期,矿物燃料使环境质量恶化;外国直接投资的流入在所有频率上都提高了环境的质量;在短期、中期和长期,经济的复杂性阻碍了环境的质量。此外,MWC和PWC结果与小波相干性结果一致。此外,基于小波的格兰杰因果关系揭示了所有变量在不同频率下都可以相互预测。
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Environmental consequences of fossil fuel in Spain amidst renewable energy consumption: a new insights from the wavelet-based Granger causality approach
ABSTRACT By comparing ecological footprint and biocapacity, the load capacity factor follows a given ecological threshold, thus allowing for a thorough study of environmental deterioration. As a result, this research uses the load capacity factor (LCF) as a distinct proxy for ecological deterioration, resulting in a detailed environmental evaluation tool that considers both ecological footprint and biocapacity at the same time. Based on this knowledge, the current research investigates the relationship between load capacity factor (LCF) and fossil fuel (FF), renewable energy (REC), economic complexity (ECI) and foreign direct investment (FDI) in Spain utilizing a dataset covering the period between 1970Q1 and 2017Q4. We applied the novel wavelet coherence technique to assess the connection and/or causality interrelationship between LCF and the exogenous variables at various frequencies and different timeframes. The outcomes of the wavelet correlation disclosed that: (i) In the short and medium term, REC enhances the quality of the environment; (ii) In the short and medium term, fossil fuels worsen the quality of the environment; (iii) At all frequencies, FDI inflows enhance the quality of the environment; and (iv) In the short, medium and long term, economic complexity hinders the quality of the environment. In addition, the MWC and PWC outcomes are consistent with the wavelet coherence outcomes. Moreover, the wavelet-based Granger causality revealed that all the variables can predict each other at various frequencies.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
11.10
自引率
3.60%
发文量
58
审稿时长
18-36 weeks
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology is now over fifteen years old and has proved to be an exciting forum for understanding and advancing our knowledge and implementation of sustainable development. Sustainable development is now of primary importance as the key to future use and management of finite world resources. It recognises the need for development opportunities while maintaining a balance between these and the environment. As stated by the UN Bruntland Commission in 1987, sustainable development should "meet the needs of the present generation without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs."
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