俄罗斯地区制造业相互影响的异质性建模

IF 0.5 Q3 AREA STUDIES Ekonomika Regiona-Economy of Region Pub Date : 2021-10-05 DOI:10.17059/ekon.reg.2021-3-16
M. Petrov, L. Serkov, Кonstantin B. Kozhov
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引用次数: 1

摘要

影响区域间互动的因素在区域经济发展中起着重要作用。因此,开发一种评估这些相互作用的方法变得迫在眉睫。本文提出了一种方法方法来分析影响斯维尔德洛夫斯克州与俄罗斯联邦制造业中其他组成实体之间可能相互作用的因素。假设区域间相互作用矩阵的元素是表征这种相互作用程度的代理变量。对斯维尔德洛夫斯克州和其他组成部分之间的关系和生产链的经济分析证实了这一假设。首先,根据被调查地区制造业产出的空间分布,确定了显示其相互影响强度的指标值。其次,经济、基础设施和制度因素对获得的指标的影响,表征斯维尔德洛夫斯克州和其他地区之间的相互作用,使用分位数回归进行评估。在这种情况下,选择这样的技术来代替经典的普通最小二乘(OLS)回归,后者错误地估计了所研究变量之间的相关性。这表现为回归系数取决于因变量的q-分位数。我们发现,被调查地区的价格水平不影响它们与斯维尔德洛夫斯克州可能的相互作用。同时,知识的传播也推动了区域制造业之间的互动。考虑到斯维尔德洛夫斯克州和俄罗斯其他地区的潜力,研究结果可用于制定工业安置和发展的战略、方案和计划。
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Modelling the Heterogeneity of the Mutual Influence between Russian Regions in the Manufacturing Industry
As factors affecting interregional interactions play an important role in regional economic development. Thus, developing a methodology for assessing these interactions is becoming urgent. The article proposes a methodological approach to analyse the factors influencing possible interactions between Sverdlovsk oblast and other constituent entities of the Russian Federation in the manufacturing industry. It is hypothesised that the elements of an interregional interaction matrix are proxy variables characterising the degree of this interaction. An economic analysis of relations and production chains between Sverdlovsk oblast and other constituent entitles confirmed this hypothesis. First, based on the spatial distribution of manufacturing output in the examined regions, values of an indicator showing the strength of their mutual influence were determined. Second, the impact of economic, infrastructural and institutional factors on the obtained indicator, characterising the inter action between Sverdlovsk oblast and other regions, was assessed using quantile regression. In this case, such a technique was chosen instead of the classical ordinary least squares (OLS) regression that incorrectly estimates the dependencies between the studied variables. This is expressed in the fact that the regression coefficients de pend on q-quantile of the dependent variable. We have revealed that price levels of the examined regions do not affect their possible interactions with Sverdlovsk oblast. Simultaneously, the dissemination of knowledge acts a driver of interaction between the considered regional manufacturing industries. The research findings can be used to prepare strategies, programmes and schemes for the placement and development of industries, considering the potential of Sverdlovsk oblast and other Russian regions.
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CiteScore
1.80
自引率
20.00%
发文量
23
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