{"title":"医院传染病的多类型分支过程建模","authors":"Zeinab Mohamed, T. Oraby","doi":"10.1515/eqc-2017-0026","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Nosocomial epidemics are infectious diseases which spread among different types of susceptible individuals in a health-care facility. To model this type of epidemics, we use a multi-type branching process with a multivariate negative binomial offspring distribution. In particular, we estimate the basic reproduction number R 0 {R_{0}} and study its relationship with the parameters of the offspring distribution. in case of a single-type epidemic, we investigate the effect of contact tracing on the estimates for R 0 {R_{0}} .","PeriodicalId":37499,"journal":{"name":"Stochastics and Quality Control","volume":"60 1","pages":"63 - 75"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Multi-Type Branching Processes Modeling of Nosocomial Epidemics\",\"authors\":\"Zeinab Mohamed, T. Oraby\",\"doi\":\"10.1515/eqc-2017-0026\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract Nosocomial epidemics are infectious diseases which spread among different types of susceptible individuals in a health-care facility. To model this type of epidemics, we use a multi-type branching process with a multivariate negative binomial offspring distribution. In particular, we estimate the basic reproduction number R 0 {R_{0}} and study its relationship with the parameters of the offspring distribution. in case of a single-type epidemic, we investigate the effect of contact tracing on the estimates for R 0 {R_{0}} .\",\"PeriodicalId\":37499,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Stochastics and Quality Control\",\"volume\":\"60 1\",\"pages\":\"63 - 75\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2017-12-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Stochastics and Quality Control\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1515/eqc-2017-0026\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"Mathematics\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Stochastics and Quality Control","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1515/eqc-2017-0026","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Mathematics","Score":null,"Total":0}
Multi-Type Branching Processes Modeling of Nosocomial Epidemics
Abstract Nosocomial epidemics are infectious diseases which spread among different types of susceptible individuals in a health-care facility. To model this type of epidemics, we use a multi-type branching process with a multivariate negative binomial offspring distribution. In particular, we estimate the basic reproduction number R 0 {R_{0}} and study its relationship with the parameters of the offspring distribution. in case of a single-type epidemic, we investigate the effect of contact tracing on the estimates for R 0 {R_{0}} .