不确定条件下具有线性成本的进入和退出决策

Pub Date : 2015-03-04 DOI:10.1080/17442508.2014.939976
Yongchao Zhang
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引用次数: 6

摘要

从随机规划的角度,对Dixit [a]提出的一个项目的进入和退出决策进行了严格的分析。英国退欧:不确定性下的英国退欧决策[j]。经济,97 (1989),pp. 620-638]。在本文中,我们假设成本与项目所生产的商品价格成线性关系,而不是传统研究中假设成本是恒定的。在此假设下,我们得到了一个条件,保证投资该项目是毫无价值的;此外,当商品价格大于一定值时,项目可能会终止。相反,如果成本不变,就不会有这样的结果。此外,如果项目值得投资,我们提供了一个明确的进入和退出决策的解决方案。
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Entry and exit decisions with linear costs under uncertainty
From the viewpoint of stochastic programming, we rigorously analyse entry and exit decisions of a project which were proposed by Dixit [A. Dixit, Entry and exit decisions under uncertainty, J. Polit. Econ. 97 (1989), pp. 620–638]. In this article, instead of assuming that the costs are constant in classical research, we assume that they are linear with respect to the price of the commodity produced by the project. Under this assumption, we obtain a condition which guarantees that investing in the project is worthless; besides, the project may be terminated when the commodity price is greater than a certain value. In contrast, there are no such results provided that the costs are constant. Moreover, we provide an explicit solution of entry and exit decisions if the project is worthy to be invested in.
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