尼日利亚高等院校学生吸毒成瘾的数学模型

A. Binuyo, Dr Oludare temitope Osuntokun
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摘要

在本文中,我们制定了尼日利亚高等院校学生吸毒成瘾的数学模型。该模型解释了某些物质的使用和成瘾的动态,尼日利亚高等教育机构的学生认为这些物质会改变情绪。对药物模型进行定性分析。采用下一代程序确定数学模型的基本繁殖数,即吸毒成瘾数。结果表明,当吸毒成瘾数小于1时,无药平衡点是局部渐近稳定的,否则是不稳定的。分析表明,学生的招生率和学生重新使用和成瘾的速度的增加会导致吸毒人数的增加。随着时间的推移,非吸毒者和吸毒者之间的相互作用会受到影响。接触率或限制率的增加增加了吸毒人口。兹建议:政府应加强努力,通过政府政策在尼日利亚高等院校的学生中减少或制止销售和购买药物物质的传播。
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Mathematical Modelling of the Addiction of Drug Substances among Students in Tertiary Institutions in Nigeria
In this paper, we formulated a mathematical model for the addiction of drug substances among students in the tertiary institutions in Nigeria. The model explains the dynamics of the use and the addiction of certain substances that are perceived as mood changing by the students in the tertiary institutions in Nigeria. The drug model will be analysed qualitatively. The basic reproductive number which is the drug addiction number of the mathematical model was determined using the next generation procedure. It was found that the drug free equilibrium point was found to be locally asymptotically stable whenever the drug addiction number is less than one and unstable otherwise. The analysis revealed that an increase in the recruitment rate of students and the rate at which the students return to the use and addiction of drugs would cause an increase in the drug addiction number. There are impacts on interaction among non-drug users and drug users in the system with time. An increase in the contact or limitation rate increases the population of drug users. It is hereby recommended that; government should intensify efforts to reduce or stop the spread of selling and purchasing of the drug substances through government policies among the students in the tertiary institutions in Nigeria.
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