数据挖掘在伊斯坦布尔Şişli地区交通事故比较中的应用

M. Ersen, A. H. Büyüklü, Semra Erpolat Taşabat
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引用次数: 1

摘要

研究如何减少交通事故是非常重要的,尤其是对大城市来说。其中一个大城市无疑是伊斯坦布尔。本研究运用数据挖掘(DM)、机器学习(ML)和地理信息系统(GIS)方法,以及传统方法,对2010-2017年伊斯坦布尔Şişli地区发生的3833起死伤交通事故进行分析,试图揭示减少交通事故的视角。目的是直观地确定交通事故集中的街道,根据一周中天数的影响来检查事故是否出现异常,根据区域发生的事故来检查差异,并建立模型。为此,使用了核密度、决策树、人工神经网络、逻辑回归和朴素贝叶斯方法。从所获得的结果中,可以看出,根据事故强度和所使用的建模技术的性能,有些日子的交通事故与其他日子不同。这项研究表明,“一周中的一天效应”也适用于交通事故
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Data Mining as a Method for Comparison of Traffic Accidents in Şişli District of Istanbul
Studies to reduce traffic accidents are of great importance, especially for metropolitan cities. One of these metropolitan cities is undoubtedly Istanbul. In this study, a perspective on reducing traffic accidents was trying to be revealed by analyzing 3833 fatal and injury traffic accidents that occurred in the Şişli district of Istanbul between 2010-2017, with Data Mining (DM), Machine Learning (ML) and Geographic Information Systems methods (GIS), as well as traditional methods. It is aimed to visually determine the streets where traffic accidents are concentrated, to examine whether the accidents show anomalies according to the effect of the days of the week, to examine the differences according to the accidents that occur in the regions and to develop a model. For this purpose Kernel Density, decision trees, artificial neural networks, logistic regression and Naive Bayes methods were used. From the results obtained, it has been seen that some days are different from other days in terms of traffic accidents, according to the accident intensities and the performances of the modelling techniques used vary according to the regions. This study revealed that the ‘day of the week effect’ can also be applied to traffic accidents
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审稿时长
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