径向基函数神经网络与其他估计单变量时间序列缺失值方法的比较

Wasn Saad Mahdi, Firas A. Mohammed ALmohana
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引用次数: 1

摘要

时间序列数据集中的缺失值会影响未来的正确决策。由于完整的数据有助于在估计过程中获得较高的精度,因此缺失值的原因可能是测量装置故障或人员在数据输入过程中出现错误。本研究旨在比较径向基函数方法与其他方法在单变量时间序列数据缺失值估计中的应用。采用模拟方法比较估算缺失值的方法,在不同样本量(60,100,300)的情况下,分别使用Box-Jenkins模型AR(1)一次与的值和一次与的值,假设数据缺失值的四百分比在随机MAR中缺失(5%,10%,15%,20%)。采用误差均方根和(MSE)作为精度标准,对方法的估计精度进行了评价。仿真结果表明,与其他方法相比,(RBF)方法产生的均方误差最小,是估计两种值、所有大小和所有损失比的缺失值的最佳方法。论文类型:研究论文
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A Comparison of a Radial Basis Function Neural Network with other Methods for Estimating Missing Values in Univariate Time Series
Missing values in the time-series data set have an impact on the correct decision-making in the future. Since complete data helps to obtain high accuracy in the estimation process, the reason for missing values is a malfunction of the measuring device or an error in the data entry process by the person. The research aims to compare the radial basis function methods with other methods to estimate missing values in univariate time series data. the simulation method was used to compare the methods to estimate the missing values, and that was used the Box-Jenkins model AR(1) once with the value of  and once with the value of  and with different sample sizes (60,100,300), assuming four percentages of missing from data values are missing at random MAR (5%,10%,15%,20%). The accuracy of the estimation of the methods was evaluated by using the standard of accuracy, the mean sum of squares error (MSE). from the results obtained using simulation, it was found that the(RBF) method is the best method for estimating the missing values in both values, in all sizes, and all loss ratios because it produces the lowest value of the average square error compared to other methods.   Paper type: Research paper
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