利用时间序列和空间最小二乘法从GNSS和无线电探空仪数据推导可降水量

M. Abdelfatah, N. M. Elhaty, A. Mousa, G. El-fiky
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摘要

可降水量(PWV)在降雨预报中起着重要作用;到目前为止,已经开发了许多不同的测量方法和设备来观察PWV。在本文中,无线电探空技术被用于计算PWV的时空变化和GNSS(全球导航卫星系统)只使用空间。对2014年埃及8个站点的全球导航卫星系统数据(GPS和GLONASS)进行了处理。2005年至2016年期间使用了5个无线电探空站。时间序列是利用无线电探空站的日地面测量数据构建的。采用直线拟合的方法估计了12年经季节调整的PWV时间序列的线性趋势。埃及的PWV在超过5个无线电探空站点的时间序列上呈正趋势,速率为0.3 mm/年。月周期为近正弦曲线,12年的随机误差为0% ~ 5.4%。利用PPP方法估算的GNSS数据与2014年每个站点的无线电探空数据之间的PWV在近站进行了比较。最近的两个站,GNSS站“MTRH”和无线电探空站“62,306”,得到0.66毫米的偏差。使用了三种常见的插值技术(逆距离加权,克里格和最小曲线)。三种方法的偏差分别为1.65 mm、1.96 mm和0.61 mm。最小曲线插值统计方法在Mersa-Matrouh、Aswan和Al-Arish站的平均误差分别达到0.1 mm、1.0 mm和0.30 mm,优于其他方法。在空间插值中,建议采用最小曲线法预测压波量。缩写:PWV:可降水量;PPP:精准点定位;全球卫星导航系统;ZPD:对流层天顶路径延迟;ZWD:天顶湿延迟;IDW:逆距离加权;MC:最小曲率;IGS:国际GNSS服务。
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Derived precipitable water vapour from GNSS and radiosonde data using time series and spatial least-square
ABSTRACT Precipitable water vapour (PWV) plays an important role in rain prediction; up to now, lots of different measuring methods and devices are developed to observe PWV. In this paper, radiosonde techniques are used to compute PWV’s spatial and temporal variations and GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite Systems) using in spatial only. GNSS data (GPS and GLONASS) from eight Egyptian stations were processed for the year 2014. Five radiosonde stations for the period from 2005 to 2016 were used. Time series is constructed using the daily surface measurements of radiosonde stations. The linear trend is estimated by straight line fit over 12 years of seasonally adjusted PWV time series. The PWV in Egypt has a positive trend in time series at more than five radiosonde sites with a rate of 0.3 mm/year. The monthly cycle is a near sine curve and the stochastic errors are from 0% to 5.4% over 12 years. The comparison between PWV estimated from GNSS data using the PPP approach and radiosonde data for each station in year 2014 was done in the near station. The nearest two stations, GNSS station “MTRH” and radiosonde station “62,306”, get a bias of 0.66 mm. Three common interpolation techniques (Inverse Distance Weighting, Kriging, and Minimum Curve) are used. The biases of the three used methods were 1.65 mm, 1.96 mm and 0.61 mm, respectively. The statistical methods of Minimum Curve interpolation are found superior to other methods with mean error at Mersa-Matrouh, Aswan and Al-Arish stations reaching 0.1 mm, 1.0 mm and 0.30 mm, respectively. The minimum curve technique is recommended in spatial interpolation for the prediction of PWV amount.Abbreviations: PWV: precipitable water vapour; PPP: precise point positioning; GNSS: global navigation satellite system; ZPD: tropospheric zenith path delay; ZWD: zenith wet delay; IDW: inverse distance weighting; MC: minimum curvature; IGS: International GNSS service.
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