财政乘数与金融危机

IF 2.9 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI:10.20955/wp.2018.023
Miguel Faria-e-Castro
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引用次数: 25

摘要

我研究了美国应对大衰退(Great Recession)的财政政策的效果,同时考虑了标准工具和金融部门干预。一个针对美国校准的非线性模型使我能够研究不同财政政策对国家的依赖效应。我将该模型与财政政策反应的数据结合起来,发现如果没有这种反应,消费的下降将会比现在大三分之一,累计损失为7.18%。通过家庭和银行资产负债表之间的联系产生的新传导渠道,转移和银行资本重组产生了最大的财政乘数。
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Fiscal Multipliers and Financial Crises
I study the effects of the US fiscal policy response to the Great Recession, accounting both for standard tools and financial sector interventions. A nonlinear model calibrated to the US allows me to study the state-dependent effects of different fiscal policies. I combine the model with data on the fiscal policy response to find that the fall in consumption would have been one-third larger in the absence of that response, for a cumulative loss of 7.18%. Transfers and bank recapitalizations yielded the largest fiscal multipliers through new transmission channels that arise from linkages between household and bank balance sheets.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
5.90%
发文量
0
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