天基系统监测气候政策和减缓气候过程驱动因素的潜力

Q3 Social Sciences Astropolitics Pub Date : 2018-03-08 DOI:10.1080/14777622.2018.1436329
A. Faiyetole
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引用次数: 9

摘要

天基技术在监测策略,特别是研究和预测生态系统物理事件方面的服务取得了进展。本文调查了利用空间技术监测气候政策执行情况的可行性,以及缓解气候过程驱动因素的潜力。采用德尔菲专家法获取定性数据,并进行定量分析。主要调查结果表明,专家们提到,为监测国际气候条约的执行情况而部署具有专用传感器的天基系统的预期贡献很高(3.33/4)。然而,尽管对天基太阳能在直接缓解气候变化方面的潜力有非常高的肯定率(84.44%),但在不久的将来(2020年至2025年)部署这种系统的可行性很低(1.77/4)。统计数据进一步表明,部署太空太阳能的可能开始时间(2040年和2065年的50年地平线)越远,部署的可能性就越大。这篇文章的结论是,部署用于监测和减缓全球气候变化的卫星对气候变化管理工作有重大贡献。具体来说,基于太空的太阳能发电正在快速发展。本文还为利用空间技术进行气候变化管理提供了一个概念性框架,促进了建设性的讨论,为这一主题的政策方向提供了信息。
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Potentialities of Space-Based Systems for Monitoring Climate Policies and Mitigation of Climate Process Drivers
ABSTRACT The services of space-based technology have advanced for monitoring strategies, especially for studying and predicting the physical events in ecosystems. This article investigates the viability of space technology use for monitoring implementations of climate policies and, potentialities for mitigation of climate process drivers. Qualitative data were sourced through Delphi experts’ method and quantitatively analyzed. The key findings show that experts allude to the high (3.33/4) anticipatory contributions of deploying space-based systems with dedicated sensors for monitoring implementation of international climate treaties. However, while there is a very strong yes (84.44 percent) rate on the potentiality of space-based solar power for direct climate change mitigation, the feasibility of deploying such systems in the near-future (2020 to 2025) is low (1.77/4). The statistics further show that the further away the possible start-time (2040 and a 50-year horizon of 2065) for deployment of space-based solar power, the more likely it will be deployed. The article concludes that deploying satellites for monitoring and mitigating global climate change contributes significantly to climate change management efforts. Specifically, the development of space-based solar power if fast-tracked. The article also provides a conceptual framework for climate change management using space technology, which facilitates constructive discussion informing policy direction on the subject.
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来源期刊
Astropolitics
Astropolitics Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
2
期刊介绍: Astropolitics: The International Journal of Space Politics and Policy is a peer-reviewed academic journal. The journal is dedicated to policy relevant and interdisciplinary analysis of civil, commercial, military, and intelligence space activities. Committed to the highest editorial standards, Astropolitics is the international journal of choice for the academic, policy-maker and professional in the space community.
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