短视消费与工资增长:以黎巴嫩为例

Nasser Badra
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文运用协整分析对黎巴嫩消费者的近视行为进行了实证检验。实证结果表明,1977-2013年期间,消费与收入之间存在一对一的长期关系。同时,消费和收入在短期内被发现是因果独立的。我们认为,根据我们的研究结果,只有在不危及经常账户赤字走向不可持续的情况下,政府官员才应该回应劳动力对工资增长的要求。我们的主要发现是,考虑到消费的短视行为,工资增长可以转化为长期的增长冲动。我们的发现证实了先前对黎巴嫩和一些新兴市场的一些发现。
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Myopic consumption and wage increase: The case of Lebanon

The paper empirically examines using cointegration analysis consumption's myopic behavior in Lebanon. Empirical results points to the existence of a one-to one long-run relationship between consumption and income over the period 1977–2013. Meanwhile, consumption and income found to be causally independent in the short run. We argue, in the light of our findings, government officials should respond to labor force demands for wage increase only if it does not jeopardize current account deficit path to an unsustainable one. Our main findings is that wage increase could be translated into growth impulses in the long-run given consumption's myopic behavior. Our finding corroborates some previous findings for Lebanon and some emerging markets.

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