国别背景下的双边产业内贸易——以波黑与克罗地亚贸易为例

S. Brkić
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要:本文主要研究产业内贸易(IIT),并将其置于国家特征的背景下进行研究。一项长达三十年之久的对IIT现象的学术研究表明,在经济发展阶段相似、贸易开放水平相同、相互贸易密集且显著自由化的国家之间,IIT可能更加密集,而且大多是横向型的。各国在地理上的接近,特别是它们共同的边界,以及它们在一些非经济特征(如历史、文化、语言)上的相似性,也有助于提高IIT的强度。波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那(波黑)和克罗地亚符合这些密集和不断增加的IIT标准中的大部分标准。该研究的目的是在2003年至2016年期间对波黑与克罗地亚贸易的案例研究中检查上述关于IIT的论文。研究的重点是在总体层面(基于计算修正后和未修正的格鲁贝尔-劳埃德指数)和标准国际贸易分类- SITC的划分层面(基于计算标准格鲁贝尔-劳埃德指数和进出口相对单位值)上研究工业增加值的特征——强度、趋势和结构。研究结果表明,考虑到特定国家与波黑其他重要贸易伙伴之间的相似之处,并考虑到高水平的数据汇总,IIT的强度不断上升,尽管低于预期。在波黑与克罗地亚的贸易中,产业间贸易仍然盛行,而高集约的工业间产业技术只出现在数量非常少的产品组中,再加上垂直工业间产业技术占主导地位。然而,与此同时,已经确定了与克罗地亚贸易中工业增加值的增长趋势和显著增加。
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"Bilateral Intra-Industry Trade in Country Characteristics Context: The Case Study of Trade of Bosnia and Herzegovina with Croatia"
Abstract: The paper focuses primarily on intra-industry trade (IIT) which is researched in the context of country-specific characteristics. A three-decade-long academic research of IIT phenomena suggests that IIT is likely to be more intensive and mostly of horizontal type between countries that are at a similar stage of economic development, with the same level of trade openness and with intensive and significantly liberalized mutual trade. Geographical proximity of countries, especially their common border, as well as their similarities in some non-economic characteristics such as history, culture, language, also contribute to IIT intensity. Bosnia and Herzegovina (BH) and Croatia match most of these criteria for intensive and increasing IIT. The aim of the research is to check aforementioned thesis on IIT on a case study of BH in its trade with Croatia over the period from 2003 till 2016. Research is focused on IIT characteristics – intensity, trend and structure, both at aggregate level (based on calculating corrected and uncorrected Grubel-Lloyd indices) and at division level of Standard International Trade Classification – SITC (based on calculating standard Grubel-Lloyd index and relative unit values of export and import). The research findings indicate a continuously rising, although lower than expected, intensity of IIT, taking into account similarities between given countries in comparison with other important trading partners of BH and taking into account a high level of data aggregation. In BH trade with Croatia inter-industry trade still prevails while high intensive IIT appears in a very low number of product groups, coupled with the dominance of vertical IIT. However,at the same time a growing trend and a significant increase of IIT intensity in trade with Croatia have been identified.
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来源期刊
Nigerian Journal of Economic and Social Studies
Nigerian Journal of Economic and Social Studies Social Sciences-Social Sciences (miscellaneous)
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