为什么老年人在股票上的投资要比年轻人少

R. Jagannathan, N. Kocherlakota
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引用次数: 235

摘要

理财规划师通常会建议人们随着年龄的增长,将投资从股票转向债券。规划者通常用三种方式来证明这一建议的合理性。他们认为,从年轻人的长期投资角度来看,股票的风险较低,股票往往是年轻人偿还大笔财务债务(比如孩子的大学学费)所必需的,而且年轻人有更多年的劳动收入,可以从持有股票的潜在损失中恢复过来。本文使用经济推理来评估这三种不同的理由。它发现前两个论点在经济上没有意义。最后一个论点是有效的,但只适用于那些劳动收入与股票回报相对不相关的人。如果一个人的劳动收入与股票回报高度相关,那么随着时间的推移,投资者最好将投资转向股票。
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Why should older people invest less in stock than younger people
Financial planners typically advise people to shift investments away from stocks and toward bonds as they age. The planners commonly justify this advice in three ways. They argue that stocks are less risky over a young person’s long investment horizon, that stocks are often necessary for young people to meet large financial obligations (like college tuition for their children), and that younger people have more years of labor income ahead with which to recover from the potential losses associated with stock ownership. This article uses economic reasoning to evaluate these three different justifications. It finds that the first two arguments do not make economic sense. The last argument is valid—but only for people with labor income that is relatively uncorrelated with stock returns. If a person’s labor income is highly correlated with stock returns, then that investor is better off shifting investments toward stocks over time.
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