第二代完整稳定中过度加速失效模式的参数灵敏度

Kyung-Kyu Yang
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究分析了国际海事组织第二代完整稳定性中过度加速失效模式的一级和二级评估的参数敏感性。利用高斯分布生成的输入参数空间进行蒙特卡罗模拟,并利用蒙特卡罗模拟结果进行基于方差的灵敏度分析。一级评价中,以检查点的纵、竖向位置、自然横摇周期和横摇衰减系数为输入参数,二级评价中以横摇阻尼系数和有效波浪斜率系数代替横摇衰减系数。结果表明,一级评价的总敏感性指数最高的是自然翻滚周期,为0.8;二级评价的总敏感性指数最高的是有效波浪斜率,为0.5。这表明自然横摇周期的不确定性主要传播到一级评估的结果值,而有效波浪斜率系数是二级评估中最敏感的参数。在给定的加载条件下,如果结果值接近准则值,则输入变量的不确定性会导致相反的决策。
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Parameter sensitivity of the excessive acceleration failure mode in second-generation intact stability
In this study, the parameter sensitivity of the level 1 and 2 assessments of the excessive acceleration failure mode in the International Maritime Organization second-generation intact stability was analyzed. Monte-Carlo simulations were conducted using the input parameter space, which was generated using a Gaussian distribution, and a variance-based sensitivity analysis was performed using the Monte-Carlo simulation results. The longitudinal and vertical positions of the check point, natural roll period, and roll decay coefficient were selected as input parameters for the level 1 assessment, whereas the roll damping coefficient and effective wave slope coefficient replaced the roll decay coefficient for the level 2 assessment. The results revealed that the highest total sensitivity index for the level 1 assessment was the natural roll period, which was 0.8, and the effective wave slope had a total sensitivity index of 0.5 for the level 2 assessment. This indicated that the uncertainty of the natural roll period was dominantly propagated to the resultant value of the level 1 assessment, while the effective wave slope coefficient was the most sensitive parameter in the level 2 assessment. The uncertainty in the input variable was found to cause the opposite decision if the resultant value was close to the criterion value under a given loading condition.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.90
自引率
11.10%
发文量
77
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Engineering for the Maritime Environment is concerned with the design, production and operation of engineering artefacts for the maritime environment. The journal straddles the traditional boundaries of naval architecture, marine engineering, offshore/ocean engineering, coastal engineering and port engineering.
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