用相互作用增强随机漫步逼近拟平稳分布

IF 0.6 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Esaim-Probability and Statistics Pub Date : 2020-10-20 DOI:10.1051/ps/2021019
A. Budhiraja, Nicolas Fraiman, Adam Waterbury
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文提出了两种近似具有吸收态的有限状态马尔可夫链的准平稳分布(QSD)的数值格式。这两种方案都是根据相互作用链来描述的,其中相互作用是根据系统中所有粒子的总时间占用度量给出的,并且以适当的方式加强过渡的影响,到粒子集合花费更多时间的状态。这些方案可以看作是结合了Fleming和Viot(1979)和Aldous, Flannery和Palacios(1998)的两种基于模拟的基本方法的关键特征,分别用于近似QSD。这里研究的两种方案之间的关键区别在于,第一种方法在时间$0$时从$a(n)$粒子开始,粒子数量随时间保持不变,而第二种方法从一个粒子开始,在每个时间瞬间最多添加一个粒子,这样在时间$n$时就有$a(n)$粒子。在关键假设$a(n)=o(n)$下,证明了这两种方案对唯一QSD的几乎肯定收敛性,并建立了中心极限定理。给出了探索性数值结果来说明其性能。
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Approximating quasi-stationary distributions with interacting reinforced random walks
We propose two numerical schemes for approximating quasi-stationary distributions (QSD) of finite state Markov chains with absorbing states. Both schemes are described in terms of interacting chains where the interaction is given in terms of the total time occupation measure of all particles in the system and has the impact of reinforcing transitions, in an appropriate fashion, to states where the collection of particles has spent more time. The schemes can be viewed as combining the key features of the two basic simulation-based methods for approximating QSD originating from the works of Fleming and Viot (1979) and  Aldous, Flannery and Palacios (1998), respectively. The key difference between the two schemes studied here is that in the first method one starts with $a(n)$ particles at time $0$ and number of particles stays constant over time whereas in the second method we start with one particle and at most one particle is added at each time instant in such a manner that there are $a(n)$ particles at time $n$. We prove almost sure convergence to the unique QSD and establish Central Limit Theorems for the two schemes under the key assumption that $a(n)=o(n)$. Exploratory numerical results are presented to illustrate the performance.
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来源期刊
Esaim-Probability and Statistics
Esaim-Probability and Statistics STATISTICS & PROBABILITY-
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
14
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The journal publishes original research and survey papers in the area of Probability and Statistics. It covers theoretical and practical aspects, in any field of these domains. Of particular interest are methodological developments with application in other scientific areas, for example Biology and Genetics, Information Theory, Finance, Bioinformatics, Random structures and Random graphs, Econometrics, Physics. Long papers are very welcome. Indeed, we intend to develop the journal in the direction of applications and to open it to various fields where random mathematical modelling is important. In particular we will call (survey) papers in these areas, in order to make the random community aware of important problems of both theoretical and practical interest. We all know that many recent fascinating developments in Probability and Statistics are coming from "the outside" and we think that ESAIM: P&S should be a good entry point for such exchanges. Of course this does not mean that the journal will be only devoted to practical aspects.
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