邦甸-吉打邦路线的模式选择分析模型

Naimatul Fikriyah, H. Azwansyah, E. Mukti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

旅行者在选择一种交通方式时有各种各样的原因和考虑。运输方式的多样性是运输企业竞争提供从一个城市到另一个城市的旅行者非常受欢迎或不再需要使用的运输方式选择的一个重要因素。目前,Pontianak -吉打邦城市路线上最常用的交通方式是飞机运输或旅行,反之亦然,这是因为这两种交通方式都可以到达吉打邦市,而无需在其他城镇或地区过境。本研究旨在确定影响交通方式选择的因素,获得飞机和旅行旅客的概率。本研究以陈述偏好法进行,通过向使用飞机和旅行方式从Pontianak - Ketapang城市路线旅行的人分发问卷。在调查中,通过Google表单向420名受访者分发了一份调查问卷,其中包含四个属性,即成本、时间、车头距和服务。根据所述偏好法计算运输方式选择的分析结果,得到:U(PT-TR) = 0.291 + -2.883E-6。∆x1 + -0.226。∆x2 + 0.218。∆x3 + 0.023。∆x4,飞机概率为55.92%,旅行概率为44.08%。影响运输方式选择的最敏感属性是时间属性。这是因为与成本、车头距和服务属性的变化相比,旅行时间的变化将导致相对更大的模式选择可能性。
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MODEL OF MODE SELECTION ANALYSIS AT PONTIANAK – KETAPANG ROUTE WITH STATED PREFERENCE METHOD
There are various reasons and considerations underlying travellers in choosing a mode of transportation. The diversity of transportation mode is an essential factor for transportation business actors in competing to provide a choice of transportation modes that are very popular or no longer in demand for use by travellers traveling from one city to another. Currently, the most frequently used mode of transportation on the Pontianak - Ketapang city route or vice versa is airplane transportation or travel, and this is because both modes of vehicle arrive in the city of Ketapang without transiting in other towns or regions. This study aims to determine the factors that influence the choice of transportation mode and obtain the probability of airplane and travel passengers.This research is conducted with a stated preference method by distributing questionnaires to people traveling from the Pontianak - Ketapang city route using airplanes and travel modes. For the survey, data is collected using a questionnaire distributed to 420 respondents through Google form using four attributes, namely cost, time, headway, and service. Based on the analysis results for calculating transportation mode choice with the stated preference method, a utility model is obtained as follows: U(PT-TR) = 0.291 + -2.883E-6.∆x1 + -0.226.∆x2 + 0.218.∆x3 + 0.023.∆x4 with an airplane probability of 55.92%, while  the travel probability is 44.08%. The most sensitive attribute affecting the choice of transportation mode is the time attribute. It is because changes in travel time will result in a relatively greater probability of mode choice when compared to changes in cost, headway, and service attributes. 
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