数字化如何降低油气行业盈亏平衡成本

S. Dufour, ra Sharma
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在过去的12年里,油气行业经历了三次价格危机。政治、经济和技术等关键变量的波动会影响供需动态,从而影响油价。非常规资源的增加使该行业陷入了经常性的供应过剩,给价格带来了压力,供应冲击、储存短缺和前所未有的需求下降使价格在2020年4月降至30年来的最低点。尽管波动的油价给石油公司管理市场带来了挑战,但低油价带来的一线希望是,它迫使该行业专注于提高内部运营效率。油气生产商大幅削减成本以保持盈利。该行业走上了优化之路,从而加速了数字化转型的采用。2019冠状病毒病危机以及不断增加的社会压力只是这一数字化转型的催化剂,带来了重大的运营改进并减少了碳排放。根据最新的Rystad Energy分析,平均盈亏平衡价格在2014年至2018年间下降了35%,在过去两年中又下降了10%,达到每桶50美元的盈亏平衡价格。
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How Digitization Lowers Oil & Gas Industry Break Even Cost
The Oil&Gas industry has experienced three price crises over the past twelve years. Swings in the key variables of politics, economy and technology affect supply and demand dynamics and consequently oil prices. The rise of unconventional sources brought the industry into a recurrent surplus of supply, putting pressure on prices and the combination of a supply shock, shortage of storage and an unprecedent demand drop brought prices to a 30-years low in April 2020. Although volatile oil prices make it challenging for oil companies to manage their markets, the silver lining in low oil prices is that it forced the industry to focus on rendering their internal operations more efficient. O&G producers cut their costs dramatically to remain profitable. The industry embarked on an optimization path and consequently accelerated the adoption of digital transformation. The COVID-19 crisis along with increasing societal pressure has only been a catalyzer to this digital transformation, unlocking significant operational improvements and reducing carbon emissions. According to the latest Rystad Energy analysis average breakeven price dropped 35% between 2014 and 2018, and an additional 10% over the last 2 years, to a $50 breakeven price per barrel.
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