强制性性侵犯试剂盒测试政策和逮捕趋势:一个自然实验

IF 1.3 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Justice Evaluation Journal Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI:10.1080/24751979.2021.1881410
Scott M. Mourtgos, Ian T. Adams, Justin Nix, Tara N. Richards
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引用次数: 9

摘要

摘要:本研究采用准实验设计来评估强制性侵犯试剂盒(SAK)测试政策对美国西部一个大型司法管辖区强奸逮捕的影响。我们使用贝叶斯结构时间序列模型和2010年至2019年强奸逮捕的月度数据。在实施后期间,我们观察到强奸案的逮捕率呈下降趋势。根据研究结果,对我们的发现最保守的解释是,政策的实施并没有影响强奸逮捕率。虽然强制性的SAK检测政策经常被提倡基于这样一种信念,即它们会增加性侵犯的逮捕率(以及其他拟议的好处),但我们增加了越来越多的经验证据,即需要在强制性SAK检测之外的政策干预来增加性侵犯的逮捕率。鼓励目前使用强制性SAK测试政策的司法管辖区评估利益相关者的经验,以主动解决资源分配问题,考虑其他可能增加性侵犯罪犯问责制的政策,并利用受害者服务提供者来支持在没有逮捕的情况下成功处理受害者的其他措施。
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Mandatory Sexual Assault Kit Testing Policies and Arrest Trends: A Natural Experiment
Abstract The present study employs a quasi-experimental design to evaluate the effects of a mandatory sexual assault kit (SAK) testing policy on rape arrests in a large western US jurisdiction. We use a Bayesian structural time-series model and monthly data on arrests for rape from 2010 through 2019. In the post-implementation period, we observed a downward trend in the arrest rate for rape. Based on the results, the most conservative interpretation of our findings is that the policy implementation did not affect rape arrest rates. While mandatory SAK testing policies are often advocated for based on the belief that they will increase arrest rates for sexual assault (among other proposed benefits), we add to growing empirical evidence that policy interventions beyond mandatory SAK testing are needed to increase arrest rates for sexual assault. Jurisdictions that currently use mandatory SAK testing policies are encouraged to assess stakeholders’ experiences to proactively address resource allocation, consider other policies that may increase accountability for sexual assault offenders, and utilize victim service providers to support other measures of success with victims in instances where no arrest is made.
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来源期刊
Justice Evaluation Journal
Justice Evaluation Journal CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
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