强制性性侵犯试剂盒测试政策和逮捕趋势:一个自然实验

IF 1.3 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Justice Evaluation Journal Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI:10.1080/24751979.2021.1881410
Scott M. Mourtgos, Ian T. Adams, Justin Nix, Tara N. Richards
{"title":"强制性性侵犯试剂盒测试政策和逮捕趋势:一个自然实验","authors":"Scott M. Mourtgos, Ian T. Adams, Justin Nix, Tara N. Richards","doi":"10.1080/24751979.2021.1881410","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The present study employs a quasi-experimental design to evaluate the effects of a mandatory sexual assault kit (SAK) testing policy on rape arrests in a large western US jurisdiction. We use a Bayesian structural time-series model and monthly data on arrests for rape from 2010 through 2019. In the post-implementation period, we observed a downward trend in the arrest rate for rape. Based on the results, the most conservative interpretation of our findings is that the policy implementation did not affect rape arrest rates. While mandatory SAK testing policies are often advocated for based on the belief that they will increase arrest rates for sexual assault (among other proposed benefits), we add to growing empirical evidence that policy interventions beyond mandatory SAK testing are needed to increase arrest rates for sexual assault. Jurisdictions that currently use mandatory SAK testing policies are encouraged to assess stakeholders’ experiences to proactively address resource allocation, consider other policies that may increase accountability for sexual assault offenders, and utilize victim service providers to support other measures of success with victims in instances where no arrest is made.","PeriodicalId":41318,"journal":{"name":"Justice Evaluation Journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.3000,"publicationDate":"2021-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"9","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Mandatory Sexual Assault Kit Testing Policies and Arrest Trends: A Natural Experiment\",\"authors\":\"Scott M. Mourtgos, Ian T. Adams, Justin Nix, Tara N. Richards\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/24751979.2021.1881410\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract The present study employs a quasi-experimental design to evaluate the effects of a mandatory sexual assault kit (SAK) testing policy on rape arrests in a large western US jurisdiction. We use a Bayesian structural time-series model and monthly data on arrests for rape from 2010 through 2019. In the post-implementation period, we observed a downward trend in the arrest rate for rape. Based on the results, the most conservative interpretation of our findings is that the policy implementation did not affect rape arrest rates. While mandatory SAK testing policies are often advocated for based on the belief that they will increase arrest rates for sexual assault (among other proposed benefits), we add to growing empirical evidence that policy interventions beyond mandatory SAK testing are needed to increase arrest rates for sexual assault. Jurisdictions that currently use mandatory SAK testing policies are encouraged to assess stakeholders’ experiences to proactively address resource allocation, consider other policies that may increase accountability for sexual assault offenders, and utilize victim service providers to support other measures of success with victims in instances where no arrest is made.\",\"PeriodicalId\":41318,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Justice Evaluation Journal\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-01-02\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"9\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Justice Evaluation Journal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/24751979.2021.1881410\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Justice Evaluation Journal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/24751979.2021.1881410","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9

摘要

摘要:本研究采用准实验设计来评估强制性侵犯试剂盒(SAK)测试政策对美国西部一个大型司法管辖区强奸逮捕的影响。我们使用贝叶斯结构时间序列模型和2010年至2019年强奸逮捕的月度数据。在实施后期间,我们观察到强奸案的逮捕率呈下降趋势。根据研究结果,对我们的发现最保守的解释是,政策的实施并没有影响强奸逮捕率。虽然强制性的SAK检测政策经常被提倡基于这样一种信念,即它们会增加性侵犯的逮捕率(以及其他拟议的好处),但我们增加了越来越多的经验证据,即需要在强制性SAK检测之外的政策干预来增加性侵犯的逮捕率。鼓励目前使用强制性SAK测试政策的司法管辖区评估利益相关者的经验,以主动解决资源分配问题,考虑其他可能增加性侵犯罪犯问责制的政策,并利用受害者服务提供者来支持在没有逮捕的情况下成功处理受害者的其他措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Mandatory Sexual Assault Kit Testing Policies and Arrest Trends: A Natural Experiment
Abstract The present study employs a quasi-experimental design to evaluate the effects of a mandatory sexual assault kit (SAK) testing policy on rape arrests in a large western US jurisdiction. We use a Bayesian structural time-series model and monthly data on arrests for rape from 2010 through 2019. In the post-implementation period, we observed a downward trend in the arrest rate for rape. Based on the results, the most conservative interpretation of our findings is that the policy implementation did not affect rape arrest rates. While mandatory SAK testing policies are often advocated for based on the belief that they will increase arrest rates for sexual assault (among other proposed benefits), we add to growing empirical evidence that policy interventions beyond mandatory SAK testing are needed to increase arrest rates for sexual assault. Jurisdictions that currently use mandatory SAK testing policies are encouraged to assess stakeholders’ experiences to proactively address resource allocation, consider other policies that may increase accountability for sexual assault offenders, and utilize victim service providers to support other measures of success with victims in instances where no arrest is made.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Justice Evaluation Journal
Justice Evaluation Journal CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
期刊最新文献
Assessing the Effectiveness of Mental Health Courts in Reducing Recidivism: A Systematic Review with Meta-analysis The Effectiveness of Big Data-Driven Predictive Policing: Systematic Review Rural Jail Reentry Non-Clinical Case Management: An Examination of the Middle Tennessee Rural Reentry (MTRR) Program The War Against White-Collar Crime: Elite Lawbreaking and the January 6th Attack on the U.S. Capitol Body-Worn Cameras and Settlements
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1