尼日利亚拉各斯州房地产开发阶段风险因素的相对发生

A. Muritala, O. Adegoke, B. G. Ekemode, A. Agboola
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文评估了尼日利亚拉各斯州房地产开发阶段风险因素的相对发生率,以期提供可以加强房地产开发项目风险有效管理的信息。采用随机抽样的方法,通过问卷调查的方式,对拉各斯州68家房地产开发商进行了初步调查。采用主成分分析方法,通过KMO和Bartlett检验值对危险因素进行重组。在KMO = 0.747, sign = 0.000时,研究发现房地产开发各阶段最显著的风险因素包括建设前阶段风险因素:土地所有权风险和审批风险(均值= 4.45);资源风险(均值= 3.61);社会政治风险(均值= 3.69);经济风险(Mean = 3.26);物理风险(平均= 3.99)和环境风险(平均= 2.41)。合同谈判阶段风险因素:合同风险(均值= 3.44)和财务风险(均值= 3.32)。正式承诺风险因素:法律风险(均值= 3.175);人员风险(Mean = 2.94);保险风险(Mean = 2.77)。施工阶段风险因素:财务风险(均值= 4.01);技术风险(均值= 3.36);人员风险(Mean = 3.16)和时间延迟风险(Mean = 3.14)。研究还相对确定了施工前阶段风险发生率最高,RII为3.52,而正式承诺阶段风险发生率最低,RII为3.13。本研究将有助于提高房地产开发商对项目各阶段具体风险因素的熟悉程度。
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Relative Occurrence of Risk Factors in Real Estate Development Phases in Lagos State, Nigeria
This paper assesses the relative occurrences of risk factors in real estate development phases in Lagos State, Nigeria with a view to providing information that could enhance effective management of risks in real estate development projects. Adopting random sampling, primary data were obtained from sixty-eight real estate developers in Lagos State through survey questionnaires. Principal component analysis was used to regroup the risk factors through the application of Kaiser- Meyer- Olkin (KMO) and Bartlett’s test values. At KMO of 0.747 and sig. of 0.000, the study established that the most significant risk factors in each phase of real estate development include pre-construction phase risk factors: land title and approval risks (mean = 4.45); resource risks (mean = 3.61); socio-political risks (Mean = 3.69); economic risks (Mean = 3.26); physical risks (Mean = 3.99) and environmental risks (Mean = 2.41). Contract negotiation phase risk factors: contract risks (Mean = 3.44) and financial risks (mean = 3.32). Formal commitment risk factors: legal risks (Mean = 3.175); personnel risks (Mean = 2.94); Insurance risks (Mean = 2.77). Construction phase risk factors: financial risks (Mean = 4.01); technical risks (Mean = 3.36); personnel risks (Mean = 3.16) and time-delay risks (Mean = 3.14). The study also established relatively that pre-construction phase has the highest risk occurrence with RII of 3.52 while the formal commitment phase (RII = 3.13) has the least occurrence of risks. This study will enhance familiarity of real estate developers with the specific risk factors in each phase of project.
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