信息,理性信念和均衡改进

Giacomo Bonanno
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引用次数: 0

摘要

给定一个广泛的博弈G,定义了G的正规等价类的三个子集:同时博弈的子集[记为Sim(G)],保留子博弈的准同时博弈的子集[记为subm (G)],最后是由博弈G本身组成的子集。我们证明,通过将理性信念轮廓的概念(它独立于策略概念,因此是纳什均衡的概念)应用于Sim(G)中的博弈,可以得到G的纳什均衡,通过将其应用于subm (G)中的博弈,可以得到G的子博弈完美均衡,最后,通过将其应用于G本身,可以得到子博弈完美均衡的(严格)细化。
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Information, rational beliefs and equilibrium refinements

Given an extensive game G, three subsets of the normal-form equivalence class of G are defined: the subset of simultaneous games [denoted by Sim(G)] the subset of subgame-proserving quasi-simultaneous games [denoted by SubSim(G)] and, finally, the subset consisting of the game G itself. We show that by applying the notion of rational profile of beliefs (which is formulated independently of the notion of strategy and therefore of Nash equilibrium) to the games in Sim(G) one obtains exactly the Nash equilibria of G, by applying it to the games in SubSim(G) one obtains exactly the subgame-perfect equilibria of G and, finally, by applying it to G itself one obtains a (strict) refinement of subgame-perfect equilibrium.

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