Yohei Ishibashi, Shu Kasama, Masahiko Kurabayashi, Hideki Ishii
{"title":"心衰患者使用123I-metaiodobenzylguanidine显像的5年预后模型的验证","authors":"Yohei Ishibashi, Shu Kasama, Masahiko Kurabayashi, Hideki Ishii","doi":"10.17996/anc.23-00177","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><i>Background</i>: <sup>123</sup>I-metaiodobenzylguanidine (MIBG) scintigraphy evaluates the severity and prognosis of patients with heart failure. A prognostic model has been proposed using a multicenter study data of <sup>123</sup>I-MIBG scintigraphy. We evaluated the usefulness of the model using a database. <i>Methods</i>: The study included 208 patients with noncompensated heart failure requiring hospitalization. <sup>123</sup>I-MIBG scintigraphy and echocardiography were performed predischarge and 6 months postdischarge. The 5-year mortality rate was calculated by the model and classified into tertiles. <i>Results</i>: In 208 patients, 56 cardiac deaths occurred within the observation period (median, 4.83 years). In the evaluation of predischarge parameters, the predicted 5-year mortality was 15.5% ± 5.0%, 33.5% ± 3.9%, and 51.2% ± 8.2%, and 11 (16.2%), 18 (27.3%), and 27 (36.5%) cardiac deaths occurred in groups 1, 2, and 3, respectively. At the 6-month postdischarge evaluation, the estimated mortality was 8.2% ± 2.2%, 18.5% ± 4.8%, and 43.0% ± 12.1%, and 6 (9.4%), 21 (29.2%), and 29 (40.3%) cardiac deaths occurred, respectively. The predischarge Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed significant difference between groups 1 and 3 (P value 0.014). Moreover, the 6-month postdischarge evaluation showed significant difference between group 1 and 2, and between groups 1 and 3 (P value 0.016, <0.001, respectively). For groups 1 and 3, the 6-month postdischarge difference was more significant than the predischarge difference (Chi-square 16.7 and 8.1, respectively). <i>Conclusions</i>: The prognostic model using <sup>123</sup>I-MIBG scintigraphy was useful in predicting mortality risk in patients with heart failure. The estimated mortality at 6 months postdischarge was more useful than the predischarge estimation for heart failure hospitalization.</p>","PeriodicalId":72228,"journal":{"name":"Annals of nuclear cardiology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10696150/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Validation of a Five-Year Prognostic Model Using <sup>123</sup>I-metaiodobenzylguanidine Scintigraphy in Patients with Heart Failure.\",\"authors\":\"Yohei Ishibashi, Shu Kasama, Masahiko Kurabayashi, Hideki Ishii\",\"doi\":\"10.17996/anc.23-00177\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p><i>Background</i>: <sup>123</sup>I-metaiodobenzylguanidine (MIBG) scintigraphy evaluates the severity and prognosis of patients with heart failure. A prognostic model has been proposed using a multicenter study data of <sup>123</sup>I-MIBG scintigraphy. We evaluated the usefulness of the model using a database. <i>Methods</i>: The study included 208 patients with noncompensated heart failure requiring hospitalization. <sup>123</sup>I-MIBG scintigraphy and echocardiography were performed predischarge and 6 months postdischarge. The 5-year mortality rate was calculated by the model and classified into tertiles. <i>Results</i>: In 208 patients, 56 cardiac deaths occurred within the observation period (median, 4.83 years). In the evaluation of predischarge parameters, the predicted 5-year mortality was 15.5% ± 5.0%, 33.5% ± 3.9%, and 51.2% ± 8.2%, and 11 (16.2%), 18 (27.3%), and 27 (36.5%) cardiac deaths occurred in groups 1, 2, and 3, respectively. At the 6-month postdischarge evaluation, the estimated mortality was 8.2% ± 2.2%, 18.5% ± 4.8%, and 43.0% ± 12.1%, and 6 (9.4%), 21 (29.2%), and 29 (40.3%) cardiac deaths occurred, respectively. The predischarge Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed significant difference between groups 1 and 3 (P value 0.014). Moreover, the 6-month postdischarge evaluation showed significant difference between group 1 and 2, and between groups 1 and 3 (P value 0.016, <0.001, respectively). For groups 1 and 3, the 6-month postdischarge difference was more significant than the predischarge difference (Chi-square 16.7 and 8.1, respectively). <i>Conclusions</i>: The prognostic model using <sup>123</sup>I-MIBG scintigraphy was useful in predicting mortality risk in patients with heart failure. The estimated mortality at 6 months postdischarge was more useful than the predischarge estimation for heart failure hospitalization.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":72228,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Annals of nuclear cardiology\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10696150/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Annals of nuclear cardiology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.17996/anc.23-00177\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2023/10/31 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Annals of nuclear cardiology","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.17996/anc.23-00177","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2023/10/31 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Validation of a Five-Year Prognostic Model Using 123I-metaiodobenzylguanidine Scintigraphy in Patients with Heart Failure.
Background: 123I-metaiodobenzylguanidine (MIBG) scintigraphy evaluates the severity and prognosis of patients with heart failure. A prognostic model has been proposed using a multicenter study data of 123I-MIBG scintigraphy. We evaluated the usefulness of the model using a database. Methods: The study included 208 patients with noncompensated heart failure requiring hospitalization. 123I-MIBG scintigraphy and echocardiography were performed predischarge and 6 months postdischarge. The 5-year mortality rate was calculated by the model and classified into tertiles. Results: In 208 patients, 56 cardiac deaths occurred within the observation period (median, 4.83 years). In the evaluation of predischarge parameters, the predicted 5-year mortality was 15.5% ± 5.0%, 33.5% ± 3.9%, and 51.2% ± 8.2%, and 11 (16.2%), 18 (27.3%), and 27 (36.5%) cardiac deaths occurred in groups 1, 2, and 3, respectively. At the 6-month postdischarge evaluation, the estimated mortality was 8.2% ± 2.2%, 18.5% ± 4.8%, and 43.0% ± 12.1%, and 6 (9.4%), 21 (29.2%), and 29 (40.3%) cardiac deaths occurred, respectively. The predischarge Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed significant difference between groups 1 and 3 (P value 0.014). Moreover, the 6-month postdischarge evaluation showed significant difference between group 1 and 2, and between groups 1 and 3 (P value 0.016, <0.001, respectively). For groups 1 and 3, the 6-month postdischarge difference was more significant than the predischarge difference (Chi-square 16.7 and 8.1, respectively). Conclusions: The prognostic model using 123I-MIBG scintigraphy was useful in predicting mortality risk in patients with heart failure. The estimated mortality at 6 months postdischarge was more useful than the predischarge estimation for heart failure hospitalization.