太阳辐射和气温的趋势和相互依赖性——以德国为例

H. D. Behr
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引用次数: 2

摘要

研究了1991 - 2015年德国以北大西洋涛动(NAO)指数为特征的太阳辐射和气温时空分布及其对大气环流的依赖。之所以选择德国作为研究区域,是因为它可以被细分为三个气候不同的区域:德国北部低地受北海和波罗的海的海洋影响。德国中部有几座低矮的山脉。在南部,最高的低山脉和阿尔卑斯山脉对太阳辐射和气温的影响不同。利用卫星和地面测量的日值,在NAO指数的背景下研究了太阳辐射和气温模式。在春季观测到的长期太阳辐射增加最为显著,这主要是由于云量的季节性变化。春季和秋季气温明显升高。太阳辐射与气温在春季和秋季呈显著相关,相关系数高达0.93。此外,太阳辐射和气温对NAO指数有显著的依赖关系,相关系数均大于0.66。所得结果不仅对研究区域的气候研究具有重要意义,而且对光伏系统运营商设计系统具有重要意义。它们需要大规模扩大,以支持德国在2045年前实现气候中和的雄心。
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Trends and Interdependence of Solar Radiation and Air Temperature—A Case Study from Germany
This study characterizes the spatiotemporal solar radiation and air temperature patterns and their dependence on the general atmospheric circulation characterized by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index in Germany from 1991 to 2015. Germany was selected as the study area because it can be subdivided into three climatologically different regions: the North German lowlands are under the maritime influence of the North and Baltic Seas. Several low mountain ranges dominate Germany’s center. In the south, the highest low mountain ranges and the Alps govern solar radiation and air temperature differently. Solar radiation and air temperature patterns were studied in the context of the NAO index using daily values from satellite and ground measurements. The most significant long-term solar radiation increase was observed in spring, mainly due to seasonal changes in cloud cover. Air temperature shows a noticeable increase in spring and autumn. Solar radiation and air temperature were significantly correlated in spring and autumn, with correlation coefficient values up to 0.93. In addition, a significant dependence of solar radiation and air temperature on the NAO index was revealed, with correlation coefficient values greater than 0.66. The results obtained are important not only for studies on the climate of the study area but also for photovoltaic system operators to design their systems. They need to be massively expanded to support Germany’s climate neutrality ambitions until 2045.
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