{"title":"贝叶斯年龄深度模型应用于测年和放射性测年,以优化将现有的高分辨率年表转移到Holzmaar(德国西艾菲尔火山场)的新复合沉积物剖面。","authors":"Stella Birlo, W. Tylmann, B. Zolitschka","doi":"10.5194/gchron-5-65-2023","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. This study gives an overview of different methods to integrate information\nfrom a varve chronology and radiometric measurements in the Bayesian tool\nBacon. These techniques will become important for the future as technologies\nevolve with more sites being revisited for the application of new and\nhigh-resolution scanning methods. Thus, the transfer of existing\nchronologies will become necessary because the recounting of varves will be\ntoo time consuming and expensive to be funded. We introduce new sediment cores from Holzmaar (West Eifel Volcanic Field,\nGermany), a volcanic maar lake with a well-studied varve record. Four\ndifferent age–depth models have been calculated for the new composite\nsediment profile (HZM19) using Bayesian modelling with Bacon. All models\nincorporate new Pb-210 and Cs-137 dates for the top of the record, the\nlatest calibration curve (IntCal20) for radiocarbon ages as well as the new\nage estimation for the Laacher See Tephra. Model A is based on previously\npublished radiocarbon measurements only, while Models B–D integrate the\npreviously published varve chronology (VT-99) with different approaches.\nModel B rests upon radiocarbon data, while parameter settings are obtained\nfrom sedimentation rates derived from VT-99. Model C is based on radiocarbon\ndates and on VT-99 as several normal distributed tie points, while Model D\nis segmented into four sections: sections 1 and 3 are based on VT-99 only,\nwhereas sections 2 and 4 rely on Bacon age–depth models including additional\ninformation from VT-99. In terms of accuracy, the parameter-based\nintegration Model B shows little improvement over the non-integrated\napproach, whereas the tie-point-based integration Model C reflects the\ncomplex accumulation history of Holzmaar much better. Only the segmented and\nparameter-based age integration approach of Model D adapts and improves\nVT-99 by replacing sections of higher counting errors with Bayesian\nmodelling of radiocarbon ages and thus efficiently makes available the best\npossible and most precise age–depth model for HZM19. This approach will\nvalue all ongoing high-resolution investigations for a better understanding\nof decadal-scale Holocene environmental and climatic variations.\n","PeriodicalId":12723,"journal":{"name":"Geochronology","volume":"18 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7000,"publicationDate":"2023-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Bayesian age–depth modelling applied to varve and radiometric dating to optimize the transfer of an existing high-resolution chronology to a new composite sediment profile from Holzmaar (West Eifel Volcanic Field, Germany)\",\"authors\":\"Stella Birlo, W. Tylmann, B. Zolitschka\",\"doi\":\"10.5194/gchron-5-65-2023\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract. This study gives an overview of different methods to integrate information\\nfrom a varve chronology and radiometric measurements in the Bayesian tool\\nBacon. These techniques will become important for the future as technologies\\nevolve with more sites being revisited for the application of new and\\nhigh-resolution scanning methods. Thus, the transfer of existing\\nchronologies will become necessary because the recounting of varves will be\\ntoo time consuming and expensive to be funded. We introduce new sediment cores from Holzmaar (West Eifel Volcanic Field,\\nGermany), a volcanic maar lake with a well-studied varve record. Four\\ndifferent age–depth models have been calculated for the new composite\\nsediment profile (HZM19) using Bayesian modelling with Bacon. All models\\nincorporate new Pb-210 and Cs-137 dates for the top of the record, the\\nlatest calibration curve (IntCal20) for radiocarbon ages as well as the new\\nage estimation for the Laacher See Tephra. Model A is based on previously\\npublished radiocarbon measurements only, while Models B–D integrate the\\npreviously published varve chronology (VT-99) with different approaches.\\nModel B rests upon radiocarbon data, while parameter settings are obtained\\nfrom sedimentation rates derived from VT-99. Model C is based on radiocarbon\\ndates and on VT-99 as several normal distributed tie points, while Model D\\nis segmented into four sections: sections 1 and 3 are based on VT-99 only,\\nwhereas sections 2 and 4 rely on Bacon age–depth models including additional\\ninformation from VT-99. In terms of accuracy, the parameter-based\\nintegration Model B shows little improvement over the non-integrated\\napproach, whereas the tie-point-based integration Model C reflects the\\ncomplex accumulation history of Holzmaar much better. Only the segmented and\\nparameter-based age integration approach of Model D adapts and improves\\nVT-99 by replacing sections of higher counting errors with Bayesian\\nmodelling of radiocarbon ages and thus efficiently makes available the best\\npossible and most precise age–depth model for HZM19. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
摘要本研究概述了在贝叶斯工具bacon中整合阀门年表和辐射测量信息的不同方法。随着技术的发展,这些技术将变得越来越重要,因为更多的地点将被重新访问,以应用新的高分辨率扫描方法。因此,现有年表的转移将是必要的,因为阀门的重新计算将是耗时和昂贵的资金。我们介绍了来自Holzmaar(德国西艾菲尔火山场)的新沉积物岩心,这是一个火山maar湖,具有充分研究的阀门记录。利用贝叶斯模型和Bacon对新的复合沉积物剖面(HZM19)计算了四种不同的年龄深度模型。所有模型都采用新的Pb-210和Cs-137日期作为记录的顶部,放射性碳年龄的最新校准曲线(IntCal20)以及Laacher See Tephra的新年龄估计。模型A是基于以前发表的放射性碳测量仅,而模型B-D整合以前发表的阀门年表(VT-99)与不同的方法。模型B基于放射性碳数据,而参数设置则根据VT-99得出的沉降速率获得。模型C基于放射性碳酸盐和VT-99作为几个正态分布的联系点,而模型Dis分为四个部分:第1和3部分仅基于VT-99,而第2和4部分依赖于培根年龄深度模型,包括VT-99的附加信息。在精度方面,基于参数的积分模型B与非积分方法相比几乎没有提高,而基于结合点的积分模型C更能反映Holzmaar复杂的积累历史。只有模型D的分段和基于参数的年龄整合方法适应和改进了vt -99,用放射性碳年龄的贝叶斯建模取代了较高计数误差的部分,从而有效地为HZM19提供了最佳和最精确的年龄深度模型。这种方法将对所有正在进行的高分辨率研究有价值,有助于更好地了解十年尺度的全新世环境和气候变化。
Bayesian age–depth modelling applied to varve and radiometric dating to optimize the transfer of an existing high-resolution chronology to a new composite sediment profile from Holzmaar (West Eifel Volcanic Field, Germany)
Abstract. This study gives an overview of different methods to integrate information
from a varve chronology and radiometric measurements in the Bayesian tool
Bacon. These techniques will become important for the future as technologies
evolve with more sites being revisited for the application of new and
high-resolution scanning methods. Thus, the transfer of existing
chronologies will become necessary because the recounting of varves will be
too time consuming and expensive to be funded. We introduce new sediment cores from Holzmaar (West Eifel Volcanic Field,
Germany), a volcanic maar lake with a well-studied varve record. Four
different age–depth models have been calculated for the new composite
sediment profile (HZM19) using Bayesian modelling with Bacon. All models
incorporate new Pb-210 and Cs-137 dates for the top of the record, the
latest calibration curve (IntCal20) for radiocarbon ages as well as the new
age estimation for the Laacher See Tephra. Model A is based on previously
published radiocarbon measurements only, while Models B–D integrate the
previously published varve chronology (VT-99) with different approaches.
Model B rests upon radiocarbon data, while parameter settings are obtained
from sedimentation rates derived from VT-99. Model C is based on radiocarbon
dates and on VT-99 as several normal distributed tie points, while Model D
is segmented into four sections: sections 1 and 3 are based on VT-99 only,
whereas sections 2 and 4 rely on Bacon age–depth models including additional
information from VT-99. In terms of accuracy, the parameter-based
integration Model B shows little improvement over the non-integrated
approach, whereas the tie-point-based integration Model C reflects the
complex accumulation history of Holzmaar much better. Only the segmented and
parameter-based age integration approach of Model D adapts and improves
VT-99 by replacing sections of higher counting errors with Bayesian
modelling of radiocarbon ages and thus efficiently makes available the best
possible and most precise age–depth model for HZM19. This approach will
value all ongoing high-resolution investigations for a better understanding
of decadal-scale Holocene environmental and climatic variations.