2019冠状病毒病期间的熊市和波动性持续存在,微芯片股能否度过难关?

IF 1.9 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Review of Behavioral Finance Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI:10.1108/rbf-11-2021-0235
M. Marobhe, Pastory Dickson
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引用次数: 2

摘要

目的研究新冠肺炎疫情期间恐慌和歇斯底里的新闻对微芯片股票波动的影响。设计/方法/方法作者使用P-GARCH(1,1)和随机效应回归来建模/检查Covid-19恐慌和歇斯底里新闻对整个微芯片行业和个别公司的影响。他们进一步利用SVAR模型来检验波动从微芯片行业到汽车和主要技术行业的溢出效应。其时间框架为2020年1月6日至2021年6月30日,以捕捉两波Covid-19的影响。研究结果首先表明,新冠肺炎恐慌和歇斯底里新闻对微芯片行业股票波动具有巨大的建模潜力,从而证实了信息发现假说。其次,作者论证了新冠肺炎病例、死亡人数和政策严格程度对不同国家个别微芯片公司股票收益的影响。最后,作者证实了波动性从微芯片行业溢出到其他技术行业的存在。研究局限/启示作者提供了证据来支持坏消息在预测股票行为方面的深度。研究结果描述了Covid-19如何影响微芯片库存,以便采取政策举措来保护该行业。波动性溢出效应的存在表明了通过混合科技股和非科技股来实现投资组合多样化的重要性。尽管大流行对不同行业产生了不同的影响,但关于Covid-19和个别行业股票的研究得到的学术关注有限。
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Bearish conditions and volatility persistence during COVID-19 can microchip stocks weather the storm?
PurposeThe purpose of this article is to examine the impact of panic and hysteria news on the volatility of microchip stocks during Covid-19.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use the P-GARCH (1,1) and random effects regression to model/examine the impact of Covid-19 panic and hysteria news on the overall microchip sector and individual firms. They further utilize the SVAR model to examine volatility spill-over from the microchip sector to the automobile and main technology sectors. Their time frame ranges from 6th January 2020 to 30th June 2021 to capture the effects of both waves of Covid-19.Findings The study results firstly reveal that Covid-19 panic and hysteria news have tremendous potential to model the volatility of microchip sector stock thus confirming the information discovery hypothesis. The authors secondly demonstrate the influence of Covid-19 cases, deaths and policy stringency on stock returns of individual microchip companies in different countries. Finally the authors confirm the presence of volatility spill-over from the microchip sector to other technology sectors.Research limitations/implicationsThe authors provide evidence to support the profundity of bad news in predicting stock behavior. The study results depict how Covid-19 has affected microchip stocks so that policy initiatives can be taken to protect the industry. The presence of volatility spill-over signifies the importance of diversifying portfolios by mixing technology and non-technology stocks.Originality/valueThe research strand on Covid-19 and individual sectoral stocks has received limited scholarly attention despite unparallel effects of the pandemic on different sectors.
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来源期刊
Review of Behavioral Finance
Review of Behavioral Finance BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
5.00%
发文量
44
期刊介绍: Review of Behavioral Finance publishes high quality original peer-reviewed articles in the area of behavioural finance. The RBF focus is on Behavioural Finance but with a very broad lens looking at how the behavioural attributes of the decision makers influence the financial structure of a company, investors’ portfolios, and the functioning of financial markets. High quality empirical, experimental and/or theoretical research articles as well as well executed literature review articles are considered for publication in the journal.
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