评估部门净投资的方法比较

T. Wei
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引用次数: 5

摘要

在综合国民核算的文献中,国民净投资被用来表示一个经济体中福利的动态改善。一个著名的方法将国家净投资与一个经济体中资本资产存量变化的影子价值联系起来。按照这种资本存量方法,部门净投资可以定义为一个经济体中一个部门拥有的资本资产存量变化的影子价值。另一种方法是基于某一行业未来的大宗商品流量。这种商品流动方法将部门净投资与未来流向一个部门的商品的变化的现值联系起来。在本文中,我比较了这两种方法,并证明只有当未来商品流向该部门可以归因于该部门的当前资本资产存量时,它们才会相互吻合。在实证研究中,如果目的是估计未来现金流量接受国对国家净投资的贡献,商品流量方法可能是一个更好的选择。
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Comparing Approaches to Valuing Sectoral Net Investments
In the literature of comprehensive national accounts, national net investments are used to indicate dynamic welfare improvement in an economy. A well-known approach associates national net investments with the shadow value of change in stock of capital assets in an economy. Following this capital stock approach, sectoral net investments can be defined as the shadow value of change in stock of capital assets owned by a sector in an economy. An alternative approach is based on future commodity flows to a sector. This commodity flow approach associates sectoral net investments with the present value of changes in future commodity flows to a sector. In the present paper, I compare these two approaches and prove that they coincide with each other only if the future commodity flows to the sector can be attributed to current stock of capital assets in the sector alone. In empirical studies, commodity flow approach can be a better alternative if the purpose is to estimate the contributions to national net investments of a recipient of future cash flows.
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