数字金融、财政透明度与政府债务风险

Haining Zha, Wei Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

数字金融的覆盖广度和使用深度的扩大,极大地提高了金融服务实体经济的效率,对中国地方政府的经济发展产生了重要影响。本文以2011 - 2020年省级地方政府债务风险数据为研究样本,深入探讨数字金融对地方政府债务风险的影响及机制。结果表明,首先,数字金融能够有效抑制地方政府债务风险,并且通过分位数模型检验,发现了显著的长期抑制效果。其次,在作用机制测试中,数字金融通过地方政府财政透明的路径有效缓解了地方政府债务风险,起到了显著的调节作用。最后,根据不同地区和发展水平,发现数字金融对地方政府债务风险的影响在东部地区和城市化水平较高的地区更为显著。本文的研究结果对防范地方政府债务风险和区域系统性风险的发生具有一定的理论价值和现实意义。
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Digital Finance, Fiscal Transparency and Government Debt Risk
The expansion of the breadth of coverage and depth of use of digital finance greatly improves the efficiency of financial services to the real economy, and has an important impact on the economic development of local governments in China. This paper takes the provincial local government debt risk data from 2011 to 2020 as the research sample to deeply investigate the effect and mechanism of digital finance on local government debt risk. The results show that, firstly, digital finance can effectively suppress local government debt risk, and a significant long-term suppressive effect is found by quantile model test. Secondly, in the mechanism of action test, digital finance effectively alleviates local government debt risk through the path of local government fiscal transparency, and has played a significant regulating effect. Finally, based on different regions and development levels, the effect of digital finance on local government debt risk is found to be more significant in eastern regions and regions with high urbanization levels. The findings of this paper provide some theoretical value and practical significance for preventing the occurrence of local government debt risk and regional systemic risk.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
24
审稿时长
12 weeks
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