道路建设项目的风险管理:高容量道路

Anmol Okate, Vijay Kakade
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引用次数: 6

摘要

道路建设项目由于分布在广阔的地理区域,并受到地下条件的威胁,因此具有很大的风险。风险可以定义为一种已知的不确定性事件,这种不确定性是根据其发生的概率来衡量的。风险对项目的任何一个方面都有重大影响,即成本、时间或项目的范围。在项目的早期阶段了解风险将有助于项目经理减少其影响,并以改进和更有效的方式完成项目。这可以通过适当的风险管理来实现。风险管理的过程包括识别、分析和应用方法来降低已识别的风险。在进行识别和分析的同时,还需要将风险适当地分配给各自的承包方,如业主、顾问、承包商等,以便在获得授权的情况下正确地做出风险处理决策,而不会产生任何争议。本研究的重点是道路建设项目的风险管理。将道路分为“高容量道路”和“低容量道路”,并对高容量道路进行分析。通过问卷调查确定风险因素,并对高、低流量道路采用5点李克特量表,考虑风险发生的概率和风险因素的影响进行风险评估。从这两个参数中,通过将两个参数的RII值相乘计算出风险优先级,并根据风险优先级的RII值对风险进行排序。根据被调查者对每个风险因素的回答,通过问卷进行进一步的风险分配。费用由业主、顾问、承包商分摊,或者由他们共同承担风险。这项研究将有助于项目经理在项目开始前更好地估计风险,并使他们能够在项目的早期阶段制定适当的缓解措施。
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Risk Management in Road Construction Projects: High Volume Roads
Road construction projects carry a significant amount of risk due to its spread over a wide geographical area and threat from underground conditions. Risk can be defined as an event of known uncertainty and this uncertainty is measured in terms of its probability of occurrence. Risk has significant effect on any one of the aspects of a project namely cost, time or scope of the project. Understanding risks in the early stages of a project will help project managers to reduce its impacts and complete the project in an improved and more efficient manner. This can be achieved through proper Risk Management. The process of Risk Management comprises of identification, analysis and application of methods to reduce the identified risk. Along with identification and analysis, it is also necessary to allocate the risk properly to the respective contracting parties such as owners, consultants, contractors etc., so that risk handling decisions can be taken properly with authorization and without any disputes. This study focuses on management of risk in road construction projects. The roads are categorized as “High-volume roads” and “Low-volume roads” and analysis is carried out for High-volume roads roads. Identification of risk factors is done through a questionnaire survey and assessment of risk is done considering both the probability of the occurrence of risk and impact of the risk factor using 5 point likert scale for high volume and low volume roads. From the two parameters ‘risk priority’ is calculated by multiplying the RII values of both the parameters and the risks are ranked according to the RII values of the ‘risk priority’. Further allocation of the risk is also done through the questionnaire according to the responses of the respondents for each risk factor. The allocation is done towards the owner, consultant, contractor or the risk is shared between them. This study would help project managers to better estimate risks prior to the commencement of a project and allows them to develop proper mitigation measures at an early stage of a project.
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