均衡模型下的保险定价

IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Scandinavian Actuarial Journal Pub Date : 2023-01-03 DOI:10.1080/03461238.2022.2161412
Frank Y. Feng, Xudong Zeng, Guanxi Zhu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文建立了由异质保险公司组成的竞争市场中保险定价的动态均衡模型。保险公司对潜在风险过程的预期损失率存在不同的信念,且信念分歧是随机的。保险公司选择最优保险市场份额以最大化其个人效用。均衡保险价格是在保险市场出清时确定的。我们提供了一个市场上连续存在保险公司的一般均衡框架,然后明确求解了N家保险公司情况下的均衡保险价格。研究发现,随机异质性给保险价格带来额外的波动,使其具有动态性。保险公司的均值回归差异可以解释实证研究记录的保险业务周期。与以往关于最优保险的文献相比,本文将一般均衡的资产定价框架引入到保险定价研究中。
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Insurance pricing in an equilibrium model
We develop a dynamic equilibrium model of insurance pricing in a competitive market consisting of heterogeneous insurance companies. The insurers have different beliefs on expected loss rate of an underlying risk process and the belief divergences are stochastic. The insurers select optimal insurance market shares to maximize their individual utilities. The equilibrium insurance price is formulated when the insurance market is cleared. We provide a general equilibrium framework with a continuum of insurers in the market and then solve for the equilibrium insurance price explicitly in the case of N insurers. We find that the stochastic heterogeneity brings extra volatility to insurance price and makes it dynamic. The mean-reverting divergences of insurers may explain cycles of insurance business documented by empirical studies. Compared to the previous literature of optimal insurance, this paper introduces an asset pricing framework of general equilibrium to the research of insurance pricing.
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来源期刊
Scandinavian Actuarial Journal
Scandinavian Actuarial Journal MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS-STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
11.10%
发文量
38
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Scandinavian Actuarial Journal is a journal for actuarial sciences that deals, in theory and application, with mathematical methods for insurance and related matters. The bounds of actuarial mathematics are determined by the area of application rather than by uniformity of methods and techniques. Therefore, a paper of interest to Scandinavian Actuarial Journal may have its theoretical basis in probability theory, statistics, operations research, numerical analysis, computer science, demography, mathematical economics, or any other area of applied mathematics; the main criterion is that the paper should be of specific relevance to actuarial applications.
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