教育投资对中国经济增长的影响:金融发展的作用

Xinyao Li, Chung-Khain Wye
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引用次数: 2

摘要

早期的研究主要集中在教育投资如何影响不同国家的经济增长,即发达国家和发展中国家。结论是模糊的,导致这种差异的主要因素之一是金融发展指标的遗漏。本文利用2005 - 2019年中国31个省份的面板数据,研究金融发展如何影响教育投资与经济增长之间的关系。研究结果表明,在较富裕地区,金融发展并不能促进教育投资对经济增长的影响。然而,对于人均GDP低于平均水平的贫困省份,以金融体系中贷款总额和存款总额分别占GDP的比例为代表的金融发展确实可以增强教育投资对经济增长的作用。即使教育投资和金融发展的代理分别对经济增长产生负向影响,这种增强作用仍然有效。信贷扩张和储蓄增加可能会促进政府在教育方面的支出,这反过来又在相对贫穷省份比相对富裕省份更大程度上促进经济增长。金融发展战略应针对经济增长低于平均水平的贫困省份,促进促进增长的教育融资。
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The Effect of Investment in Education on China’s Economic Growth: The Role of Financial Development
Abstract Earlier studies have focused on how education investment affects economic growth in different countries, namely developed and developing countries. The conclusions have been ambiguous and one of the dominant factors leading to such variation is the omission of financial development indicators. The present paper makes use of panel date from 2005 to 2019 on 31 provinces of China to examine how financial development can influence the relationship between education investment and economic growth. The findings show that financial development does not facilitate the impact of education investment on economic growth in wealthier regions. However, for poorer provinces with GDP per capita below the average, financial development as proxied by the ratio of total loans and total deposits in the financial system to GDP, respectively, can indeed enhance the effect of education investment on economic growth. Such enhancement is valid even when the proxies for education investment and financial development respectively pose negative effect on economic growth. Credit expansion and savings increase may facilitate government expenditure in education, which in turn promotes economic growth in relatively poor provinces to a greater degree than does the relatively wealthy provinces. Financial development strategy should be targeted to poorer provinces with below-average economic growth to facilitate growth-promoting educational financing.
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