改革开放以来西部省市GDP增速与城镇化的差异

Li Zhen , Yang Yongchun , Liu Yuxiang
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引用次数: 17

摘要

改革开放以来,西部地区与中国其他地区的发展差距越来越大。此外,西部城市的发展状况还有待改善。本文利用国内生产总值(GDP)、人均GDP等经济晴雨表和城市化水平、城市初等程度等城市人口数据,分析了西部省市的发展状况。选取GDP增量贡献度、人均GDP增量贡献度、城市化水平、城市初级度、城市初级比等5个指标对各省的发展进行评价。结论如下。(1)西部省份国内生产总值和人均国内生产总值增长不佳;此外,它的发展并不稳定。(2)各省城镇化水平增长特征之间的可比性处于较低水平。(3)内蒙古和新疆省的城市化水平对人均GDP增长的反应更为敏感,广西和西藏省的城市化水平对人均GDP增长的反应不太敏感。(4)大部分省份的城市人口高度集中,这可以通过城市初级程度和城市初级比率来体现。在研究西部区域有机城市的同时,选取了一些较早的区域有机城市作为样本城市,并利用经济晴雨表和人口数据对这些城市进行了分析。通过分析各城市之间的差异,并对比周教授和笔者的研究成果,得出以下结论:(1)各城市的GDP和人均GDP增长大多不稳定;②大中城市对经济增长的反应更为敏感,而中小城市和特大城市对经济增长的反应较不敏感;③西南地区城市规模增速高于西北地区,且差异仍在扩大。
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Difference among the Growth of GDP and Urbanization of the Provinces and the Cities in West China since the Reform and Opening-up

Since the reform and opening-up, the difference between the development of the west region and the other regions in China is increasing. In addition, the condition of the development of cities in west China needs amelioration. Developing conditions of the west provinces and its cities using economic barometers (e.g. gross domestic product (GDP) and per capita GDP) and urban population datum (e.g. urbanization level and city primary degree) have been analyzed in this article. Five indexes have been chosen to work on the development of the provinces, for example, the contribution degree of the increment in GDP, the contribution degree of the increment of per capita GDP, urbanization level, city primary degree, city primacy ratio. Conclusions are as follows. (1) The growth of the GDP and per capita GDP of the western provinces is in a poor way; moreover, it is not steady going. (2) The comparability among the characteristics of the urbanization level growth of the provinces is at a low level. (3) The urbanization levels of Inner Mongolia province and Sinkiang province are more-sensitive responders to the growth of per capita GDP, whereas those of Guangxi province and Tibet province are less-sensitive responders. (4) The urban population in most of the provinces are highly concentrated, which can be shown by city primary degrees and city primacy ratios. While working on these cities in west China, some earlier zone-organic cities are chosen as sample cities, and these cities are also analyzed using economic barometers and population datum. By analyzing the difference among the cities and comparing the research findings of Professor Zhou and the author, the following conclusions are made: (1) the growth of the GDP and per capita GDP of the cities are mostly not steady going; (2) the middle and big cities are more-sensitive responders to the growth of economy, whereas the small and mega cities are less-sensitive responders; (3) the sizes of southwest cities have a higher speed than those of northwest ones, and furthermore, the differences between them are still increasing.

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