二人组成员之间自发的信心结盟的好处

N. Pescetelli, N. Yeung
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在许多领域,模仿他人的行为可以帮助个人解决对个人来说太困难或太复杂的问题。在集体决策任务中,人们已经被证明使用信心作为一种手段来沟通围绕内部嘈杂估计的不确定性。在这里,我们表明,当与他人的意见互动时,信心一致性,即二人组成员之间对彼此的平均信心的转移,自然会出现。这种一致性对团队绩效以及个体成员在信息交换后的准确性具有可衡量的影响。这表明,个体之间的信心一致性源于最小化由任务无关变量(特质置信度)引起的信心变化的必要性,同时最大化由刺激特征(状态置信度)引起的变化。
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Benefits of spontaneous confidence alignment between dyad members
In many domains, imitating others’ behaviour can help individuals to solve problems that would be too difficult or too complex for the individuals. In collective decision making tasks, people have been shown to use confidence as a means to communicate the uncertainty surrounding internal noisy estimates. Here, we show that confidence alignment, namely, shifting average confidence between dyad members towards each other, naturally emerges when interacting with others’ opinions. This alignment has a measurable impact on group performance as well as the accuracy of individual members following information exchange. It is suggested that confidence alignment arises among individuals from the necessity of minimising confidence variation arising from task-unrelated variables (trait confidence), while at the same time maximising variation arising from stimulus characteristics (state confidence).
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