COVID-19大流行跨越地域和社会边界:我们能面对它吗?

IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Geografie-Sbornik CGS Pub Date : 2020-03-30 DOI:10.37040/geografie2020125010001
D. Dzúrová, J. Jarolímek
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引用次数: 6

摘要

新型冠状病毒SARS-CoV-2是自1918-1920年甲型H1N1流感大流行以来全球健康威胁最严重的病毒。本文的目的是根据世界卫生组织和中国疾病预防控制中心的每日数据,从首次记录疫情爆发的时间记录COVID-19流行病的传播情况。此外,本文的目的是基于对湖北省流行周期的了解,是试图模拟疫情在捷克人口中的未来发展,根据乐观预测模型,预计4月中旬在捷克可能出现疫情高峰,每天新增病例700-750例,确诊病例总数可能达到约20 000人(20%的人可能出现严重的健康并发症)。文章的结论指出,捷克需要建立自己的基础设施,以满足国家的需求,特别是在医疗设施、医务人员、以及防护设备和药品的可用性
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COVID-19 pandemic spread across geographical and social borders: Can we face it?
The global health threat of the novel coronavirus virus SARS-CoV-2 has been the most severe virus since the (A) H1N1 influenza pandemic of 1918-1920 The aim of this paper is to document the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic, on the basis of daily WHO and Chinese CDC data, from the time of the first recorded outbreak of the epidemic Furthermore, the aim of the paper, based on knowledge of the epidemic cycle in the province of Hubei, is to attempt to simulate the future development of the epidemic in the Czech population According to the optimistic prediction model, it is expected that the epidemic peak could occur in Czechia in mid-April with a daily number of 700-750 new cases The total number of people with confirmed disease could reach roughly 20,000 (20% of people may experience serious health complications) The conclusion of the article points to the need for Czechia to build its own infrastructure to cover the needs of the state - especially in the areas of preparedness of medical facilities, medical staff, and the availability of protective equipment and medicines
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来源期刊
Geografie-Sbornik CGS
Geografie-Sbornik CGS Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
12
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