历史趋同

F. Boero
{"title":"历史趋同","authors":"F. Boero","doi":"10.1080/11250003.2016.1147805","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In 2015, three relevant portions of society agreed upon a crucial issue: our impact on nature affects our chances of survival and we must be more responsible in the way we interact with both biodiversity and ecosystems. The scientific community engaged in the study of complex natural phenomena has been saying these things for a very long time; it is on its position that the other two portions of society have converged. In fact, the head of the Catholic Church, Pope Francis, published a powerful message about the urgency of preserving nature from what we are doing to her: the Encyclical Laudato Sì. Shortly thereafter, almost 200 states, at the Paris Conference of the Parties (COP 21), signed an agreement aimed at reducing carbon emissions to combat global warming. The representatives of both policy and religion do agree with ecologists and biologists. I think this has never happened before, in the history of mankind. There is still a fourth portion that does not want to listen: economics. Economists invented the practice of externalisation to take environmental costs out of cost-benefit analyses. The only important issue, for them, is the growth of the economic capital, and they want it to proceed to infinity, since they complain whenever growth stops. The natural law that implies that if something grows, something else degrows is irrelevant to them. They do not care if the growth of the economic capital erodes the natural capital. This vision implies that nature is present on one planet and we are living on another planet, where we live in isolation. I know that this is irrational, but there are even scientists (usually astrophysicists who evidently know just a little of ecology, such as Stephen Hawking) who advise us to abandon this planet on a fleet of spaceships and fly away, to colonise other planets. A portion of the scientific community evidently presumes that after having destroyed this planet we might pass on to destroy some other celestial body. The demonstration that this is an absurdity is, paradoxically, in the Bible. The book says that God became nervous due to some misbehaviour of our species and decided to wipe us out, with a timely deluge. S/he wanted to give us a chance, though. So s/he called Noah and told him to build an ark. The ark is the spaceship that, according to Hawking, among others, should bring us to other planets. However, Noah and his family were not enough to ensure the continuity of our species. God told Noah to put a couple of all animal species in the ark. The message is clear: we cannot survive without the rest of nature. Astrophysicists probably do not know this little detail, ending up associated with economists. Naturalists presume that the importance of nature is so obvious that it should be taken for granted. This assumption is simply wrong: people do not care about nature. The reason is cultural. Nature is seen as something that decorates our environment, and we look at documentaries to say “ohhhh”, but then we forget about nature when “serious” issues are discussed. The number of people becoming aware of this truism (that nature is important), however, is increasing. We have just to convert economists and physicists, the most powerful communities in the civil and the scientific arena. I fear that adult individuals with a degree in economics or physics will not change their beliefs, so this process is to be encouraged in schools, in order to imprint young individuals with the fact that nature is to be respected. If in the first 16 years a person is exposed to a vision, then the rest of his or her life is marked by this vision. Sure enough, we are now backed by very important allies and we must not disregard their power: there are more people who believe in God, out there, than people who believe in science. In a democratic system, the majority prevails. We must convince the majority that our concerns are serious: it is useless to produce solid science if it does not have an impact on society and culture at large. We had a great impact, in 2015, and this is just the beginning. The fight with irrational optimism is giving concrete results, and we can be rationally optimistic that our message will lead to a change in the way humans interact with nature. Holy books contain unexpected supports to the study of natural systems. 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The only important issue, for them, is the growth of the economic capital, and they want it to proceed to infinity, since they complain whenever growth stops. The natural law that implies that if something grows, something else degrows is irrelevant to them. They do not care if the growth of the economic capital erodes the natural capital. This vision implies that nature is present on one planet and we are living on another planet, where we live in isolation. I know that this is irrational, but there are even scientists (usually astrophysicists who evidently know just a little of ecology, such as Stephen Hawking) who advise us to abandon this planet on a fleet of spaceships and fly away, to colonise other planets. A portion of the scientific community evidently presumes that after having destroyed this planet we might pass on to destroy some other celestial body. The demonstration that this is an absurdity is, paradoxically, in the Bible. The book says that God became nervous due to some misbehaviour of our species and decided to wipe us out, with a timely deluge. S/he wanted to give us a chance, though. So s/he called Noah and told him to build an ark. The ark is the spaceship that, according to Hawking, among others, should bring us to other planets. However, Noah and his family were not enough to ensure the continuity of our species. God told Noah to put a couple of all animal species in the ark. The message is clear: we cannot survive without the rest of nature. Astrophysicists probably do not know this little detail, ending up associated with economists. Naturalists presume that the importance of nature is so obvious that it should be taken for granted. This assumption is simply wrong: people do not care about nature. The reason is cultural. Nature is seen as something that decorates our environment, and we look at documentaries to say “ohhhh”, but then we forget about nature when “serious” issues are discussed. The number of people becoming aware of this truism (that nature is important), however, is increasing. We have just to convert economists and physicists, the most powerful communities in the civil and the scientific arena. I fear that adult individuals with a degree in economics or physics will not change their beliefs, so this process is to be encouraged in schools, in order to imprint young individuals with the fact that nature is to be respected. If in the first 16 years a person is exposed to a vision, then the rest of his or her life is marked by this vision. Sure enough, we are now backed by very important allies and we must not disregard their power: there are more people who believe in God, out there, than people who believe in science. In a democratic system, the majority prevails. We must convince the majority that our concerns are serious: it is useless to produce solid science if it does not have an impact on society and culture at large. We had a great impact, in 2015, and this is just the beginning. The fight with irrational optimism is giving concrete results, and we can be rationally optimistic that our message will lead to a change in the way humans interact with nature. Holy books contain unexpected supports to the study of natural systems. 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引用次数: 3

摘要

2015年,社会的三个相关部分就一个关键问题达成一致:我们对自然的影响影响到我们的生存机会,我们必须在与生物多样性和生态系统的互动方式上更加负责任。长期以来,从事复杂自然现象研究的科学界一直在说这些话;正是在它的位置上,社会的其他两个部分已经融合。事实上,天主教会的领袖教皇方济各(Pope Francis)发表了一则强有力的信息,强调保护自然免受我们对她的所作所为的紧迫性:《赞美通谕Sì》(通谕)。此后不久,近200个国家在巴黎缔约方会议(COP 21)上签署了一项旨在减少碳排放以应对全球变暖的协议。政策和宗教的代表都同意生态学家和生物学家的观点。我想这在人类历史上从来没有发生过。还有第四个部分不愿倾听:经济。经济学家发明了外部化的做法,将环境成本从成本效益分析中剔除。对他们来说,唯一重要的问题是经济资本的增长,他们希望经济资本无限增长,因为只要增长停止,他们就会抱怨。自然法则暗示,如果某物生长,另一物就会退化,这与他们无关。他们不关心经济资本的增长是否侵蚀了自然资本。这一设想意味着,自然存在于一个星球上,而我们生活在另一个星球上,我们孤立地生活在那里。我知道这是不理智的,但甚至有科学家(通常是天体物理学家,他们显然对生态学知之甚少,比如斯蒂芬·霍金)建议我们乘坐宇宙飞船舰队离开地球,飞到其他星球去殖民。科学界的一部分人显然认为,在毁灭了这个星球之后,我们可能会继续毁灭其他天体。矛盾的是,这是一个荒谬的论证,在圣经中。书中说,由于人类的一些不当行为,上帝变得紧张起来,决定用一场及时的洪水将我们消灭。但是他/她想给我们一个机会。所以他打电话给诺亚,让他造一艘方舟。根据霍金的说法,方舟是一艘宇宙飞船,它应该把我们带到其他星球。然而,诺亚和他的家人不足以确保我们物种的延续。上帝吩咐挪亚在方舟里放一些动物。信息很明确:没有大自然的其他部分,我们就无法生存。天体物理学家可能不知道这个小细节,最终与经济学家联系在一起。博物学家认为,自然的重要性是如此明显,以至于应该被视为理所当然。这个假设是完全错误的:人们不关心自然。原因在于文化。自然被视为装点我们环境的东西,我们看纪录片的时候会发出“哦”的感叹,但当我们讨论“严肃”的问题时,我们就会忘记自然。然而,越来越多的人开始意识到这个真理(自然很重要)。我们只需要改变经济学家和物理学家的看法,他们是民间和科学领域最强大的群体。我担心拥有经济学或物理学学位的成年人不会改变他们的信仰,所以学校应该鼓励这一过程,以便让年轻人铭记大自然应该受到尊重的事实。如果一个人在最初的16年里接触到一种幻象,那么他或她的余生都会被这种幻象所标记。当然,我们现在得到了非常重要的盟友的支持,我们不能忽视他们的力量:在那里,相信上帝的人比相信科学的人多。在民主制度中,多数人占上风。我们必须让大多数人相信,我们的担忧是严重的:如果不能对整个社会和文化产生影响,那么产生可靠的科学是没有用的。我们在2015年产生了巨大的影响,而这仅仅是个开始。与非理性乐观主义的斗争正在产生具体的结果,我们可以理性地乐观地认为,我们的信息将导致人类与自然互动方式的改变。圣书对自然系统的研究提供了意想不到的支持。阅读圣经如何处理自然,意大利动物学杂志,2016,1 - 2卷,83,第1期,http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/11250003.2016.1147805
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The historical convergence
In 2015, three relevant portions of society agreed upon a crucial issue: our impact on nature affects our chances of survival and we must be more responsible in the way we interact with both biodiversity and ecosystems. The scientific community engaged in the study of complex natural phenomena has been saying these things for a very long time; it is on its position that the other two portions of society have converged. In fact, the head of the Catholic Church, Pope Francis, published a powerful message about the urgency of preserving nature from what we are doing to her: the Encyclical Laudato Sì. Shortly thereafter, almost 200 states, at the Paris Conference of the Parties (COP 21), signed an agreement aimed at reducing carbon emissions to combat global warming. The representatives of both policy and religion do agree with ecologists and biologists. I think this has never happened before, in the history of mankind. There is still a fourth portion that does not want to listen: economics. Economists invented the practice of externalisation to take environmental costs out of cost-benefit analyses. The only important issue, for them, is the growth of the economic capital, and they want it to proceed to infinity, since they complain whenever growth stops. The natural law that implies that if something grows, something else degrows is irrelevant to them. They do not care if the growth of the economic capital erodes the natural capital. This vision implies that nature is present on one planet and we are living on another planet, where we live in isolation. I know that this is irrational, but there are even scientists (usually astrophysicists who evidently know just a little of ecology, such as Stephen Hawking) who advise us to abandon this planet on a fleet of spaceships and fly away, to colonise other planets. A portion of the scientific community evidently presumes that after having destroyed this planet we might pass on to destroy some other celestial body. The demonstration that this is an absurdity is, paradoxically, in the Bible. The book says that God became nervous due to some misbehaviour of our species and decided to wipe us out, with a timely deluge. S/he wanted to give us a chance, though. So s/he called Noah and told him to build an ark. The ark is the spaceship that, according to Hawking, among others, should bring us to other planets. However, Noah and his family were not enough to ensure the continuity of our species. God told Noah to put a couple of all animal species in the ark. The message is clear: we cannot survive without the rest of nature. Astrophysicists probably do not know this little detail, ending up associated with economists. Naturalists presume that the importance of nature is so obvious that it should be taken for granted. This assumption is simply wrong: people do not care about nature. The reason is cultural. Nature is seen as something that decorates our environment, and we look at documentaries to say “ohhhh”, but then we forget about nature when “serious” issues are discussed. The number of people becoming aware of this truism (that nature is important), however, is increasing. We have just to convert economists and physicists, the most powerful communities in the civil and the scientific arena. I fear that adult individuals with a degree in economics or physics will not change their beliefs, so this process is to be encouraged in schools, in order to imprint young individuals with the fact that nature is to be respected. If in the first 16 years a person is exposed to a vision, then the rest of his or her life is marked by this vision. Sure enough, we are now backed by very important allies and we must not disregard their power: there are more people who believe in God, out there, than people who believe in science. In a democratic system, the majority prevails. We must convince the majority that our concerns are serious: it is useless to produce solid science if it does not have an impact on society and culture at large. We had a great impact, in 2015, and this is just the beginning. The fight with irrational optimism is giving concrete results, and we can be rationally optimistic that our message will lead to a change in the way humans interact with nature. Holy books contain unexpected supports to the study of natural systems. Reading how the Bible deals with nature, Italian Journal of Zoology, 2016, 1–2 Vol. 83, No. 1, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/11250003.2016.1147805
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来源期刊
Italian Journal of Zoology
Italian Journal of Zoology 生物-动物学
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